NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a9b158250741ce776aab626548094c1f95df13ee35f4920d232fe9c90a732a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,303,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,379,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,303,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,932 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Spurs | 59c | 279,788$163,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163,970.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Warriors | 39c | 206,592$79,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126,878.1 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 43c | 123,082$52,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,554.49 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 45c | 93,531$42,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,415.68 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 57c | 74,347$42,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,690.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Warriors | 43c | 69,000$29,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,619.94 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Warriors | 43c | 67,162$28,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,383.72 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 33c | 57,388$18,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,412.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Spurs | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,999.89 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Spurs | 56c | 43,357$24,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,221.7 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 57c | 42,062$24,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,106.92 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,200 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Spurs | 56c | 35,000$19,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,699.93 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs | 66c | 30,348$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Spurs | 71c | 30,000$21,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,299.99 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Warriors | 43c | 25,410$10,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,603.56 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Warriors | 43c | 23,782$10,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,507.57 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Spurs | 53c | 22,543$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Warriors | 51c | 22,135$11,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,818.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 26c | 21,518$5,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,852.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Warriors | 42c | 21,437$9,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,337.93 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Warriors | 42c | 21,085$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,182.03 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Spurs | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.84 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Spurs | 56c | 18,000$10,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,159.99 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 58c | 17,381$10,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,076.85 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…cb72backed Warriors | 42c | 16,950$7,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,831 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Warriors | 47c | 16,807$7,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,907.74 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…5519backed Warriors | 43c | 16,200$6,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,234 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Spurs | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors | 43c | 14,049$6,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,032.88 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Spurs | 57c | 13,860$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900.46 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 57c | 12,500$7,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,185 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b11…c12ebacked Spurs | 58c | 12,150$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951d…8385backed Spurs | 58c | 12,100$7,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,017.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…afc6backed Warriors | 44c | 11,732$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Warriors | 44c | 10,785$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,075.29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec1…50cdbacked Spurs | 57c | 10,525$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.13 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…dfa2backed Spurs | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Spurs | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…2420backed Spurs | 56c | 9,730$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs | 57c | 9,285$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.45 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Spurs | 57c | 9,258$5,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,307.75 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…443ebacked Warriors | 38c | 9,141$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,641.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 43c | 9,022$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…3dfebacked Spurs | 59c | 8,900$5,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,251 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…fb7cbacked Spurs | 57c | 8,700$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7682…07fdbacked Spurs | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors | 42c | 8,500$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.96 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Spurs | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 54c | 8,333$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.14 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…7a63backed Warriors | 45c | 8,200$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Spurs | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Spurs | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 43c | 7,950$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,570.76 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…1f47backed Spurs | 56c | 7,947$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…5622backed Warriors | 44c | 7,935$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…795ebacked Spurs | 56c | 7,812$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,374.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcf…1004backed Warriors | 44c | 7,805$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886a…1ee3backed Spurs | 56c | 7,057$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…20f7backed Warriors | 44c | 7,045$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…d28dbacked Spurs | 58c | 7,024$4,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…4f5ebacked Spurs | 56c | 7,005$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Spurs | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 207 | 46.4%96 W · 111 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…b707backed Warriors | 44c | 6,994$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,916.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 36c | 6,952$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.19 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Spurs | 68c | 6,586$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.71 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…aaa8backed Warriors | 42c | 6,519$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Spurs | 57c | 6,435$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.47 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d0…5407backed Spurs | 56c | 6,200$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 75c | 6,112$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.98 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…19ebbacked Warriors | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.96 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 35c | 5,968$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.49 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…adf9backed Spurs | 51c | 5,834$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 36c | 5,534$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.24 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Spurs | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 22c | 4,969$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,886.46 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Warriors | 43c | 4,949$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.06 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e75…f819backed Warriors | 43c | 4,912$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57f…3ebcbacked Spurs | 57c | 4,912$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Warriors | 42c | 4,874$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.87 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f352backed Spurs | 58c | 4,711$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 42c | 4,600$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…ddddbacked Spurs | 55c | 4,577$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 40c | 4,220$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Spurs | 58c | 4,111$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.53 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7535…b3dcbacked Spurs | 3c | 4,052$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Warriors | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Spurs | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Warriors | 21c | 4,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Warriors | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81ec…f8b2backed Warriors | 42c | 3,986$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Warriors | 49c | 3,863$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…37d4backed Warriors | 42c | 3,820$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Spurs | 55c | 3,793$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…38e5backed Spurs | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Spurs | 57c | 3,502$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…51e3backed Warriors | 30c | 3,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Warriors | 45c | 3,481$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.76 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.