NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebeadcc9deff481479f461150d53b87cfd4fd4eb56b9893b84254b6fa160682b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Spurs, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29ca…07bebacked Warriors | 7c | 16,777$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,602.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Warriors | 47c | 6,878$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.22 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Spurs | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Spurs | 57c | 1,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Spurs | 50c | 1,638$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.85 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 50c | 1,443$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.6 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,443$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…bbfcbacked Warriors | 42c | 1,061$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +96%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Warriors | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Warriors | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.41 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Warriors | 44c | 287.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Spurs | 58c | 203.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…e02abacked Warriors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Spurs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…0a0fbacked Spurs | 55c | 161.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…e0a6backed Spurs | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 44c | 155.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed Spurs | 56c | 137.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2e…c90fbacked Spurs | 58c | 116$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…25d6backed Spurs | 58c | 116$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…1a92backed Spurs | 58c | 114$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…0a77backed Spurs | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46c…0c1fbacked Spurs | 58c | 105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Spurs | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…66b2backed Spurs | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…581ebacked Spurs | 58c | 97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…4fe3backed Spurs | 58c | 93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…9cf9backed Spurs | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…23a9backed Spurs | 58c | 83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…fb3cbacked Spurs | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5509…7db8backed Spurs | 58c | 78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…68a5backed Warriors | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…0f55backed Spurs | 56c | 73.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Warriors | 44c | 69.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee1…9b23backed Spurs | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…617fbacked Spurs | 55c | 67.06$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…87dabacked Spurs | 56c | 62.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Spurs | 56c | 62.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 45c | 58.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Spurs | 56c | 52.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Spurs | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked Spurs | 56c | 44.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…75dabacked Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f1…1744backed Spurs | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a2…0c1abacked Spurs | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Spurs | 55c | 35.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Spurs | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc22…1365backed Spurs | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…8512backed Spurs | 55c | 29.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed Spurs | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…627bbacked Spurs | 55c | 28.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Spurs | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spurs | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Spurs | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-0.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Warriors won
- Warriors vs. SpursWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.