TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Stars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Sharks, Stars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$292,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,663 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Sharks29c171,438$50,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,518.717749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Stars73c48,639$35,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,069.7938748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Stars70c39,993$28,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,797.9421755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Stars70c27,402$19,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,220.64050%20 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9142…73d3backed Sharks4c18,211$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars70c14,343$10,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,302.9447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars66c13,991$9,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,740.141,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Sharks30c13,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars70c13,000$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Stars71c9,000$6,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6106055%33 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Stars71c8,585$6,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.654654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Stars70c7,118$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.2788151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Sharks36c5,170$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.4132744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks36c5,158$1,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.0675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Stars71c4,000$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,16027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Stars71c3,519$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.625248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Stars70c3,300$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.991681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Stars70c2,857$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.128652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Sharks29c2,302$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.421,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Sharks2c2,266$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.421973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Stars71c2,124$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.4410255.9%57 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc007…1639backed Sharks29c2,045$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.115651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58018547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Sharks26c1,942$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.295049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Stars70c1,895$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.9469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e7…6c34backed Stars71c1,834$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.921855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Sharks1c1,777$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.777450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stars70c1,644$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.292,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars71c1,500$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4351,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Sharks29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4352272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd832…886bbacked Stars71c1,430$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Stars71c1,412$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.4485250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3730…b53fbacked Stars71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Sharks29c1,360$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks5c1,171$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sharks30c1,166$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.711,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Stars70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Sharks36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Stars71c977.37$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4262249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1358…1af4backed Stars71c900$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Sharks29c900$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26114148.9%69 W · 72 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars71c816$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.441,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7227…5285backed Stars27c802.6$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3315146.4%70 W · 81 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc557…6496backed Stars74c799.99$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Sharks36c754.62$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.948541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stars78c707.88$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.341,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sharks19c707.38$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.842,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896a…7b9cbacked Sharks16c700.87$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.65123.5%12 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-59.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Sharks19c652.73$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0240%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Stars71c650$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.52161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Sharks29c627.93$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Stars71c599.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f3…957dbacked Sharks5c579.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks31c551.31$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.573,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars74c526$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.021,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars71c523$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.671,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Stars72c520.83$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8312548%60 W · 65 L-15.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Sharks2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Stars71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1457157.7%41 W · 30 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Sharks28c491.69$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.016233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks19c465.11$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.172,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Stars70c458$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Sharks29c423$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6731047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Sharks28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11248050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6a…2720backed Sharks19c396.77$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.242751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid-1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Stars65c364$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.410438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Stars75c354.95$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0327143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfe…74c8backed Sharks29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.051921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc60f…9ea3backed Sharks28c344.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.455641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Sharks30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars73c321.98$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.091,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Stars67c300.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.569754.6%53 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks29c291.69$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.591,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Stars70c285$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.522248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Stars71c282$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.785064%32 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0050…2eb8backed Stars72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Stars71c254.22$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7235245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Stars70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7523751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Sharks30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7081157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Stars70c233.06$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed Stars71c232.78$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3810143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb5…a35dbacked Stars72c230.33$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.49977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars64c222.43$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.321,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Sharks35c201.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2241248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Stars71c200.02$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5827544%121 W · 154 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Sharks30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Sharks28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5743944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Stars72c172.22$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.227153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8979…f003backed Sharks30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Sharks19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc6…8108backed Sharks29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x728d…dcf9backed Stars70c149.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stars71c147$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.631,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Stars71c141$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8929345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Stars71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8517858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stars70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4291945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Stars71c139.66$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.512254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Stars72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8955446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Stars72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.898052.5%42 W · 38 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.