NHL · resolved market
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdba032570973595098866e062f09eb27b76d9fa801e5b4860924679a02fd4746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sharks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sharks | 52c | 3,979$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.34 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 49c | 1,176$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 48c | 1,117$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Sharks | 51c | 1,008$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.25 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stars | 48c | 838.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.79 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sharks | 50c | 651$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Stars | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Sharks | 53c | 568.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Stars | 51c | 551.31$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.14 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Sharks | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Stars | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Stars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Sharks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sharks | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 26c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Sharks | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stars | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Stars | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Stars | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Stars | 50c | 32.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +70%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…1e14backed Stars | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Sharks | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…a25cbacked Stars | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Stars | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sharks | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…ac41backed Stars | 50c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…5285backed Stars | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. StarsStars won
- Sharks vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.