TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5ab9…c906

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
Army vs. Navybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Ohio State (-3.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Spread: Ohio State (-4.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Texas win the 2025 SEC Championship Game?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$77.9
Spread: Georgia (-1.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Texas (-8.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$20
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: James Madison (-7.5)backed Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Texas vs. Mississippi Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+566.7%+$226.67
Spread: Cincinnati (-3.5)backed Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spread: Alabama (-11.5)backed South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Indiana (-26.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Spread: Alabama (-8.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10
Spread: Notre Dame (-9.5)backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.54
Texas vs. Kentuckybacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Spread: Texas (-12.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)backed Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$10
Spread: Miami (-13.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$69.27
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.04
Spread: Alabama (-11.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.17
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST3063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texans (-11.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+237.6%+$35.63
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Seahawks (-12.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Eagles (-11.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$50.77
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.03
Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.5%+$20.67
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$55.53
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Chargers (-6.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Spread: Texans (-6.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.36
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.13
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.15
Falcons vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Vikings (-3.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$18
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Commanders vs. Packers: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$10.02
Lions vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.75
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2060%12 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$13.74
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+100%+$16.34
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the Panthers beat the Oilers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.74
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$100.33
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.97
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+131.9%+$32.97
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+1,150%+$115
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$84.34
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$10
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$14
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$22.65
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+61.9%+$40.72
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$21.43
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$11.24
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$146
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$15.02
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.05
NBA Playoffs: Nuggets vs. Clippers (To Advance)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.28
NBA Playoffs: Lakers vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+203%+$23.45
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.13
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$10.35
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.95
All 18 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$39
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$57.02
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico backed Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.17
UFC 318 Parlay – Holloway + Holland backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.02
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Pitbull · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
UFC 317: Will Topuria Win By Submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$31.98
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$12.25
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Du Plessis vs. Adesanyabacked Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$24.38
UFC 303: Who will win - Ian Machado Garry vs. Michael Page?backed Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$15.63
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+421.6%+$421.64
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$17.03
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.93
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$17.48
North Carolina vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$11.77
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.51
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+178.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.