TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina vs. Ole Miss

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ole Missof North Carolina, Ole Miss
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$535,338
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$530,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $535,338 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x908f…7e43backed North Carolina54c102,150$55,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,16110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc5…91d7backed Ole Miss46c102,150$46,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,1611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked North Carolina53c65,544$34,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,674.718143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed North Carolina8c54,232$4,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,426.947912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed North Carolina7c26,411$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.0318850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd8d…5a40backed North Carolina54c23,286$12,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,574.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked North Carolina38c15,342$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8004052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d01…a6bcbacked Ole Miss46c12,056$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,508.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked North Carolina45c11,842$5,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,377.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…4150backed Ole Miss46c11,322$5,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a34…5636backed North Carolina40c11,220$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Ole Miss64c8,500$5,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0654761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9f…005dbacked North Carolina15c7,776$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.16540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Ole Miss43c6,300$2,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,56153057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed North Carolina55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Ole Miss70c5,252$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.624134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked North Carolina0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Ole Miss46c4,400$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,375.99156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-85.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Ole Miss46c4,348$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.831850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ole Miss45c4,000$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,21642948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed North Carolina54c4,000$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,174.994542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked North Carolina14c3,881$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.6610335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked North Carolina54c3,875$2,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.3325043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed North Carolina55c3,636$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ole Miss44c3,537$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.1516842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Ole Miss73c3,500$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.79833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed North Carolina21c3,212$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.554932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed North Carolina7c3,092$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.073231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8a6…c13fbacked North Carolina37c3,032$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Ole Miss45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.981250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Ole Miss52c2,760$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed North Carolina54c2,557$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.914831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ole Miss44c2,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.999641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Ole Miss46c2,257$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.787337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina55c2,080$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.672,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ole Miss46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked North Carolina54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ole Miss73c1,999$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.213,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Ole Miss46c1,997$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ole Miss45c1,845$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.56440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Ole Miss65c1,800$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6318356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed North Carolina43c1,798$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.755527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed North Carolina57c1,369$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.271957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bcb…725abacked North Carolina1c1,100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ed…3cc4backed North Carolina48c1,029$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.74812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Ole Miss45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed North Carolina57c884.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+44%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked North Carolina54c838.67$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.883641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed North Carolina5c742$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9129012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked North Carolina56c610.71$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked North Carolina55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Ole Miss45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.994450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ole Miss44c459$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.636934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ole Miss46c442$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6815851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked North Carolina55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…79d0backed Ole Miss65c355$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked North Carolina57c350.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.552250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked North Carolina30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c5…227dbacked North Carolina56c332.86$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.752356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Ole Miss80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed North Carolina55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed North Carolina55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed Ole Miss46c299.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Ole Miss46c292.39$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.892060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee1…a5efbacked North Carolina56c280.34$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed North Carolina55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56f…3914backed North Carolina55c264.87$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.291070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+51.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Ole Miss44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Ole Miss46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.68232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Ole Miss52c228.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.794632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Ole Miss46c217.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.912030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Ole Miss46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3948462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Ole Miss46c216.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.174035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d1…f1babacked Ole Miss45c209.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Ole Miss44c209.29$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Ole Miss47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed North Carolina54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcddf…5967backed North Carolina9c197.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-48.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed North Carolina56c189.71$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.783053.3%16 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8507…8a79backed Ole Miss47c185.94$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed North Carolina55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003050%15 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed North Carolina55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked North Carolina55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003560%21 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed North Carolina55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-73.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked North Carolina56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Ole Miss46c165.22$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.225337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Ole Miss47c159.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.571637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed North Carolina22c150.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d9…00edbacked North Carolina13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed North Carolina54c144.88$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.242657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5947…48f2backed North Carolina54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Ole Miss74c135.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.321145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…1c3dbacked North Carolina55c131.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.54520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-67.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Ole Miss46c131.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.453652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Ole Miss78c129.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.491560%9 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed North Carolina39c127.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Ole Miss47c127$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.316446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed North Carolina21c126.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Ole Miss45c116.42$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.682429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed North Carolina44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502055%11 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.