TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ole Miss vs. Michigan State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Stateof Ole Miss, Michigan State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$455,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$513,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Michigan State63c51,427$32,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,068.018644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ac2…9a73backed Ole Miss38c48,500$18,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,43010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7a…ef68backed Michigan State62c48,500$30,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,4301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Michigan State59c26,186$15,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,712.6410041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc29b…b635backed Ole Miss43c23,916$10,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,179.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Ole Miss37c19,924$7,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,372.037912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Michigan State62c17,935$11,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.333455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Ole Miss42c13,394$5,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,660.6610335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Michigan State58c10,529$6,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,468.712770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Ole Miss37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7001850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Michigan State63c10,000$6,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.848356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Ole Miss46c9,442$4,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.332512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Ole Miss38c8,768$3,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,290.419833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Ole Miss38c8,237$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.012222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ole Miss37c7,984$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,957.219641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Michigan State58c7,684$4,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,221.721560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Ole Miss39c6,100$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.4110511.4%12 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Michigan State59c5,824$3,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.972924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Ole Miss41c5,392$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.774134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Ole Miss36c5,303$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.911225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Ole Miss38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Ole Miss0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Michigan State65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7504761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Michigan State63c4,719$2,961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.121978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ole Miss38c4,293$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.5642948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Michigan State64c3,854$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Ole Miss36c3,383$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.934254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Michigan State52c3,010$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.22759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Ole Miss36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Ole Miss36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0807237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Ole Miss37c2,976$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.3513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Michigan State64c2,784$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.243036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Michigan State61c2,754$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.724831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Michigan State57c2,631$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.171,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Ole Miss45c2,565$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.434632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Ole Miss37c2,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9255054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Ole Miss38c2,390$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.812222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Ole Miss38c2,369$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.864542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Ole Miss61c2,281$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3831225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Michigan State64c2,234$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.243943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646b…256dbacked Ole Miss38c2,103$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Ole Miss56c2,080$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.191145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Michigan State65c2,007$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.363652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…7b91backed Michigan State62c2,006$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Michigan State47c2,000$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0673243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Ole Miss49c1,953$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed Michigan State68c1,913$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Ole Miss42c1,850$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.633,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Ole Miss36c1,800$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.926934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ole Miss37c1,750$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Ole Miss36c1,659$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.7516842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Ole Miss40c1,591$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.555527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Michigan State63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Michigan State66c1,521$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.41070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa44e…40b6backed Michigan State62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Michigan State59c1,465$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.733046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4b…24d0backed Michigan State64c1,464$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.09425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-60.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ole Miss43c1,458$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.6655657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef8…d771backed Ole Miss38c1,392$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ole Miss36c1,391$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.274520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Ole Miss37c1,310$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.716053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Ole Miss54c1,293$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Michigan State62c1,284$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.112676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Michigan State62c1,201$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.491957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Michigan State64c1,172$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Ole Miss19c1,086$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.493993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Michigan State62c1,041$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.741883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Ole Miss38c1,032$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.2610429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b8e…66bfbacked Ole Miss37c1,002$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Michigan State63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Michigan State51c972.53$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.543669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Ole Miss38c962.48$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.941,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Michigan State64c931.69$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.414748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Ole Miss47c918.4$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.653050%15 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Michigan State51c888.51$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+135.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Ole Miss46c869.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.583016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Ole Miss45c771.72$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x105e…4741backed Michigan State48c730.37$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Michigan State61c703$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.171838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Michigan State44c684.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.761250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…a7a5backed Michigan State62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Michigan State63c635.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.723658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Michigan State63c630.94$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.942030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07a5…b126backed Ole Miss39c628.21$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Ole Miss36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Michigan State62c527.06$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.282564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Ole Miss37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Ole Miss37c500$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Michigan State60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f7…e1d3backed Michigan State64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2c…ba05backed Ole Miss39c499$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Michigan State61c499$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.613100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ole Miss41c427.03$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17660551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Ole Miss38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Michigan State50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ole Miss37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14815851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Ole Miss57c391.38$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.012138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a3…5532backed Michigan State54c370.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.91580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x020f…8357backed Ole Miss40c324.1$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d0…73cdbacked Michigan State62c322.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.72580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.