NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdedf8a64028d89737f8d7f5240b2d5f52aa0e0c011baed2253129bbbad065f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,220,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,258,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,220,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 528 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pistons | 7c | 179,380$12,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,332.5 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Pistons | 39c | 177,490$68,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,490.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 47c | 113,216$53,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,012.82 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pistons | 44c | 112,699$49,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,431.73 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Pistons | 7c | 109,299$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,509.72 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Knicks | 54c | 92,593$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,592.58 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pistons | 18c | 75,489$13,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,598.54 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Pistons | 46c | 58,278$26,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,858.32 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Pistons | 27c | 47,455$12,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,588.33 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 62c | 46,527$28,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,792.32 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Pistons | 42c | 46,515$19,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,447.7 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks | 54c | 45,567$24,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,163.77 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Knicks | 67c | 43,497$29,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,251.99 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Knicks | 61c | 41,844$25,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,289.89 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 58c | 35,367$20,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,001.55 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Knicks | 54c | 34,953$18,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,227.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Pistons | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,799.93 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Pistons | 47c | 22,500$10,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,574.91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons | 46c | 20,297$9,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,356.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Knicks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pistons | 47c | 18,617$8,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,749.8 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 66c | 15,910$10,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356.23 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 28c | 14,752$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.38 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 39c | 14,558$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,698.71 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Knicks | 67c | 14,129$9,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.71 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Pistons | 16c | 14,074$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.1 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Knicks | 78c | 13,932$10,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.97 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Knicks | 52c | 13,337$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,401.75 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Knicks | 53c | 12,226$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.06 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Pistons | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Knicks | 53c | 7,850$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.49 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Pistons | 47c | 6,905$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,245.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Pistons | 49c | 6,750$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.5 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Pistons | 14c | 6,453$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.89 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Pistons | 48c | 6,253$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.63 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…98ebbacked Knicks | 54c | 5,539$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,547.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pistons | 21c | 5,483$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.25 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Pistons | 31c | 5,477$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Knicks | 67c | 5,276$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.73 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Knicks | 60c | 5,268$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.36 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pistons | 1c | 5,001$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Knicks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 53c | 4,783$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.22 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Pistons | 47c | 4,226$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Knicks | 54c | 4,143$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Knicks | 52c | 4,000$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…4a7fbacked Pistons | 47c | 3,991$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Pistons | 25c | 3,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Pistons | 41c | 3,804$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 60c | 3,603$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.09 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Knicks | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Knicks | 52c | 3,195$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.63 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Knicks | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…499cbacked Knicks | 54c | 2,981$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…07febacked Knicks | 54c | 2,972$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Knicks | 67c | 2,898$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.42 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Knicks | 47c | 2,804$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.33 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Knicks | 63c | 2,776$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Knicks | 59c | 2,776$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.39 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Knicks | 53c | 2,630$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.87 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Knicks | 69c | 2,618$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.04 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…730dbacked Knicks | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Knicks | 66c | 2,455$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.39 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…f42cbacked Knicks | 79c | 2,429$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.33 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Knicks | 75c | 2,387$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.65 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Knicks | 66c | 2,325$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.26 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Pistons | 46c | 2,170$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.2 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Pistons | 15c | 2,119$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.83 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 36c | 2,000$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…cdbbbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,972$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…cd1bbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,970$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Pistons | 44c | 1,954$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 62c | 1,939$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.88 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks | 53c | 1,938$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.55 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,908$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Pistons | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Knicks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Pistons | 33c | 1,755$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.95 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pistons | 1c | 1,565$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Pistons | 8c | 1,538$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.24 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…f7b9backed Pistons | 48c | 1,523$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pistons | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Knicks | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Knicks | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…bb81backed Pistons | 47c | 1,340$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Knicks | 51c | 1,285$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.45 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Pistons | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.59 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,146$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks | 53c | 1,138$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.86 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.