TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$361,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 802 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Stars38c39,061$14,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,386.8916645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Stars36c31,968$11,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,549.3836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5be…7c6ebacked Stars36c22,488$8,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,471.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Avalanche67c18,189$12,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,157.4611441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Avalanche64c17,902$11,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,457.471957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche77c17,733$13,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,567.296163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche64c13,654$8,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,680.8117448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Avalanche64c13,478$8,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,679.910343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars30c12,637$3,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,883.081,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Avalanche65c10,927$7,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,130.022853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche62c10,430$6,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,466.692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ba…e054backed Avalanche64c10,000$6,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b2…87afbacked Stars36c9,993$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,395.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+93.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Avalanche59c7,518$4,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.953243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Avalanche67c6,500$4,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,329.945858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Avalanche62c5,681$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.1713845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Avalanche66c5,562$3,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,693.7711354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7a…ef68backed Stars39c5,500$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+64.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c44…91b6backed Avalanche61c5,150$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.5650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3942…70ccbacked Avalanche61c5,150$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche64c4,982$3,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,173.1927958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c5…9772backed Stars39c4,800$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9284100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+116.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc001…d003backed Avalanche61c4,200$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,56220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Stars36c4,176$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.13850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Avalanche64c4,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5507352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05ff…6e4fbacked Stars39c3,900$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3793100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Avalanche64c3,700$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3611758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Stars36c3,649$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.661947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche61c3,528$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.141,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Stars36c3,288$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.3237738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdb8…af02backed Stars36c3,153$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.783148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Avalanche63c3,025$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.3339752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Stars36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Avalanche73c2,757$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars37c2,614$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.961,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Stars36c2,546$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.135843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Avalanche64c2,520$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.249942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60024457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Stars37c2,321$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.8449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars23c2,100$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.998350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche63c2,010$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Avalanche66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3208854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Stars33c1,935$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.5744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Stars37c1,900$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1974047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Avalanche66c1,900$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.2885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Avalanche64c1,719$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10042751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche62c1,697$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.21,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Avalanche63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a0…f8aabacked Avalanche64c1,583$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.38955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Avalanche63c1,566$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9924856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche59c1,507$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.783,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Stars37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9452751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Avalanche63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.997549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Stars24c1,454$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.6210739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars36c1,305$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.021,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche61c1,174$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.6772847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e27…6e53backed Avalanche65c1,145$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed3…7008backed Stars40c1,070$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Stars36c999.97$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.9825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Avalanche63c999.96$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9735349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…7479backed Stars38c947.07$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Stars43c928.54$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.543250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Avalanche64c917.64$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.1854418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Stars36c865.5$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.9220649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Stars28c834.05$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.425754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Avalanche65c833.26$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.0119848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Avalanche65c826.32$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53515431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche63c815$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.4575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…6c51backed Avalanche64c785$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.42045%9 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Avalanche65c749.8$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48528152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Avalanche64c668.75$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4288870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche62c644$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.2879251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Stars36c558.95$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.726850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Stars36c556.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.426850%34 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Avalanche58c526.1$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.42161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Stars37c500$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.3726547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Avalanche78c500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39030%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Stars41c485.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.855255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche64c456.27$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.1350857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe958…36b1backed Avalanche69c431.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9646backed Stars23c430.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.774436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…f07bbacked Avalanche62c429.03$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Stars36c425$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Stars47c424.34$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.94143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Stars37c423.49$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.5984051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Avalanche63c415.01$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ed…1349backed Stars41c414.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26037254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Avalanche64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Avalanche64c400$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25412955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche61c399.97$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9866951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe056…00ccbacked Stars41c385.37$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9757…73e8backed Avalanche62c370.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Stars37c352.52$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.0929748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Stars37c350$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Avalanche58c344.24$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.662236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Stars35c339.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22110627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Avalanche64c336.41$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.33354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Avalanche64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e8…b663backed Stars39c300.08$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.