TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Chargers (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Chargers, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc46f…2003backed Chargers44c25,560$11,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,246.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Giants54c20,353$10,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,461.0324551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants56c17,857$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,857.1560049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Chargers46c11,924$5,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,538.1764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Giants53c11,289$5,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,306.0520634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers46c11,000$5,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,06083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giants50c10,776$5,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,360.2761148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Chargers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc35a…c07dbacked Chargers50c9,387$4,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,693.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Chargers47c8,457$3,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,944.7919645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants50c7,591$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,774.341851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants50c7,046$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,522.9522548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants56c6,190$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,723.668446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Giants55c4,402$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.7911649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Chargers47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88029356%164 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Chargers50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Giants52c3,333$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.820661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Chargers47c3,110$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.718156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Giants55c2,969$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.2925744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Chargers49c2,500$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21514248.6%69 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8854…0d9cbacked Chargers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed Giants52c1,930$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.232458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Chargers45c1,274$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.1537350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Giants54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46011446.5%53 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Giants53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.45330.2%16 W · 37 L-8.5wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-36.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Giants53c754.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8516346%75 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants51c661.48$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.131,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Chargers48c650$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31226648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Chargers49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006050%30 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Giants50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Chargers50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019436.6%71 W · 123 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Chargers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Chargers50c495.36$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6814344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Chargers47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011744.4%52 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Chargers48c416.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016351.5%84 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa097…fba7backed Chargers47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Giants53c310$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.259453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x010d…029ebacked Chargers49c223.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d6…a32fbacked Chargers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Chargers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Giants51c204$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9619459.3%115 W · 79 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9855345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Chargers48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9629751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Chargers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014355.2%79 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Chargers50c199$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.515944%70 W · 89 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed Giants54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.198453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Giants52c158.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2354451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Chargers50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7513051.5%67 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a74…d69ebacked Chargers48c149.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Chargers50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017548%84 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Chargers45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Chargers50c104$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524250%21 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…6a50backed Chargers50c103.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Giants50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Chargers45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Giants50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010752.3%56 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad5c…ac13backed Chargers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486036.7%22 W · 38 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Chargers50c95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Chargers46c88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4810453.8%56 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Chargers49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Chargers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Chargers50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Chargers48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515855.7%88 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Chargers46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.224243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x887c…e405backed Chargers48c66.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.32per pick51cpaid-64.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Chargers46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013555.6%75 W · 60 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfd…3462backed Giants52c57.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.526752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aaa…8212backed Chargers47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7777…f2bbbacked Chargers49c53.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Chargers50c52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Chargers49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.518151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Chargers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513455.2%74 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b7…63f1backed Chargers50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Chargers46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017548%84 W · 91 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeeb…e85ebacked Chargers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c82…0d7dbacked Chargers48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x335f…45c9backed Chargers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824d…208abacked Chargers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked Chargers49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.617060.6%103 W · 67 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf58c…2d2cbacked Chargers49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+71.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Giants53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7419844.9%89 W · 109 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked Giants54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.044660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8b9…403dbacked Chargers48c30.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.48911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+637.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…2a91backed Chargers47c29.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Chargers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab9…c906backed Giants54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.