TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Texas vs. Mississippi State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texasof Texas, Mississippi State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$378,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Texas42c35,945$15,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,688.0268440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Texas26c29,177$7,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,476.5386243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mississippi State74c23,033$17,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,070.8940541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mississippi State27c20,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.997126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Texas72c12,704$9,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,557.0232745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mississippi State26c10,800$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.391330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mississippi State65c9,037$5,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.0685947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas73c7,759$5,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.7181847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Mississippi State28c5,357$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Texas53c4,969$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.9329351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Texas24c4,215$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,192.920039.5%79 W · 121 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Texas12c4,167$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Mississippi State28c4,038$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.946731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Mississippi State26c3,721$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.4493548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed Mississippi State34c3,669$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Texas73c3,643$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$983.7211653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mississippi State46c3,623$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.355350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Mississippi State28c2,802$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.1834529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Mississippi State48c2,800$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34619043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Texas71c2,595$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.5534250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mississippi State41c2,552$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.0962843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Texas48c2,060$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.333030%9 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Texas58c2,048$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.5923751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…b76cbacked Texas8c2,000$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8401560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+94.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas35c1,907$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.4563243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Mississippi State28c1,787$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Mississippi State27c1,704$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.0525629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Texas75c1,650$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.54257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mississippi State26c1,394$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.471,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Texas72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.895446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…3801backed Texas37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.351650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Texas15c1,239$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+219.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Mississippi State36c1,221$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Mississippi State27c1,199$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7947131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9800…aaa3backed Texas50c1,167$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac1…1316backed Mississippi State79c1,150$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mississippi State27c1,129$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3254243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Texas74c1,117$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.454654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Texas51c1,098$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.295334%18 W · 35 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Mississippi State19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Texas72c1,032$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.0350358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Mississippi State50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Texas18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8204141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Mississippi State35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…604ebacked Texas50c995.4$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.335556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Texas71c950.69$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.749253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15b…252ebacked Texas52c950$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…dca6backed Texas73c910.62$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.871931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mississippi State3c888$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.152370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Mississippi State24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19275651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Mississippi State52c792.1$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1326750.9%136 W · 131 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x998a…34a2backed Mississippi State64c780.6$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Mississippi State26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002714.8%4 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Mississippi State42c724.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.755451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Mississippi State15c713$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.956030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Texas34c711.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.291030%3 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mississippi State27c660$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.249443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Texas73c547.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.952540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a2…1aabbacked Texas40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick24cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Texas35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32511844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Texas45c475$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1964841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ed…c5a4backed Texas37c459.48$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.481136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e2b…383dbacked Mississippi State22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6727…d00ebacked Mississippi State40c409.43$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.771127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-55.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Texas19c409.04$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.625352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Mississippi State28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11215734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3959…a574backed Texas20c390.48$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.481747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Mississippi State39c387.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505263.5%33 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texas26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6239847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Texas60c367.18$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd26b…264abacked Mississippi State27c363.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf5…6638backed Mississippi State28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Mississippi State28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas64c345.22$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Mississippi State29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003616.7%6 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Texas17c344.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4411022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…0a77backed Texas72c343.06$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.062441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Mississippi State26c341.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8912718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Mississippi State27c329.78$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3221629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x063c…7767backed Texas60c320$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Texas16c312.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.58627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58bc…a883backed Mississippi State72c304.34$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205036%18 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Texas14c300$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2583423.5%8 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Texas72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8411149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Mississippi State27c300$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.517634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa177…6e84backed Mississippi State28c297.57$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.321855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4150…d0ebbacked Mississippi State17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc648…259cbacked Texas70c293$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.92962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda82…5da2backed Mississippi State39c290$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.35251.9%27 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Mississippi State32c280.65$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.29341.9%39 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1761…8d67backed Mississippi State71c279.38$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.341346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State26c270$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.22,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.220757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab9…c906backed Texas15c266.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.673452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked Texas38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.163650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Texas16c250$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2109048.9%44 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb05e…4fcebacked Texas31c243.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.592352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0f8…c69ebacked Mississippi State28c238.86$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mississippi State48c230.58$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8940244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa641…64f0backed Texas51c207.84$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+170.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.