College Football · resolved market
Spread: Alabama (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd155c5c5dfb7f3bf57d7650560a27587f4ff82b367cf9cddcefb0def7254b274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolinaof Alabama, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Alabama | 48c | 60,025$28,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,812 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked South Carolina | 52c | 45,356$23,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,770.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…88e3backed South Carolina | 52c | 24,794$12,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,901.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed South Carolina | 46c | 21,776$9,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,798.1 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecf…06f9backed Alabama | 48c | 17,237$8,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,273.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…7a1fbacked Alabama | 48c | 16,415$7,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,879.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…48fdbacked South Carolina | 52c | 13,911$7,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,677.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Alabama | 57c | 12,841$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.67 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3263…2f28backed South Carolina | 52c | 9,602$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,608.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb61…9488backed South Carolina | 52c | 9,596$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…929bbacked Alabama | 48c | 6,940$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Alabama | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed South Carolina | 49c | 2,617$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.14 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Alabama | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Alabama | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…69d5backed Alabama | 48c | 1,922$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…b321backed South Carolina | 52c | 1,119$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…e14cbacked Alabama | 48c | 1,062$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Alabama | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Alabama | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked South Carolina | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa544…e40fbacked Alabama | 48c | 697$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…a272backed Alabama | 48c | 594$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…c524backed South Carolina | 52c | 535$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked South Carolina | 54c | 500$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Alabama | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…391abacked South Carolina | 52c | 468$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Alabama | 46c | 425.15$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.11 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Alabama | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…01f1backed Alabama | 48c | 247$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…71edbacked Alabama | 48c | 242$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Alabama | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed South Carolina | 51c | 195.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Alabama | 58c | 126.06$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Alabama | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Alabama | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…0633backed Alabama | 51c | 90.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Alabama | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Alabama | 51c | 68.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed South Carolina | 50c | 43.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…44e1backed Alabama | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…ce87backed Alabama | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…bf72backed Alabama | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Alabama | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Alabama | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Alabama | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed South Carolina | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed South Carolina | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked South Carolina | 60c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama (-11.5)this page
- Alabama vs. South CarolinaAlabama won
- Alabama vs. South Carolina: 1H MoneylineAlabama won
- O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama (-12.5)South Carolina won
- Spread: Alabama (-13.5)South Carolina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.