NFL · resolved market
Lions vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7efe36a5a30d3189f50bd33c8248d5601604eb6301af6c55a7e8098852e8c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Lions, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,362,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,568,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,362,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Packers | 52c | 245,495$127,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,837.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Lions | 47c | 111,529$52,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,274.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Packers | 51c | 81,700$41,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,032.99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Lions | 39c | 76,996$30,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,395.14 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Packers | 52c | 74,684$38,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,995.14 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lions | 44c | 66,365$28,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,991.12 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Packers | 60c | 62,815$37,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,982.82 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 54c | 58,784$31,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,878.4 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 48c | 58,447$28,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,109.26 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lions | 46c | 57,212$26,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,317.51 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Lions | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lions | 48c | 48,564$23,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,310.61 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Packers | 52c | 38,774$20,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,442.17 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Lions | 45c | 36,870$16,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,702.21 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Lions | 48c | 29,003$13,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,789.34 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Lions | 48c | 27,161$13,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,037.04 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Lions | 40c | 25,000$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,949.95 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Lions | 24c | 22,812$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.76 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Lions | 24c | 21,688$5,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,306.33 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lions | 39c | 17,573$6,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,766.09 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lions | 48c | 17,537$8,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.76 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Packers | 55c | 15,732$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,056.76 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lions | 47c | 15,471$7,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,308.23 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Lions | 48c | 14,226$6,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,826.99 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Packers | 59c | 13,040$7,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,359.05 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Lions | 27c | 12,930$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.23 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Lions | 26c | 12,889$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.33 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Lions | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Packers | 76c | 11,992$9,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.16 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed Packers | 54c | 11,029$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…8d8dbacked Packers | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lions | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Packers | 51c | 9,981$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.69 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…099dbacked Packers | 74c | 6,761$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lions | 0c | 6,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…0ad1backed Packers | 52c | 6,280$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…8e95backed Lions | 46c | 5,650$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd99c…1006backed Packers | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed Packers | 73c | 5,473$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lions | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.99 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Packers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.98 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Packers | 54c | 4,868$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.28 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Packers | 51c | 4,867$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.23 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Lions | 46c | 4,779$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.37 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc066…672dbacked Lions | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Packers | 50c | 4,266$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Lions | 45c | 4,065$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.55 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Packers | 49c | 3,653$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.06 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions | 39c | 3,458$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lions | 31c | 3,222$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions | 48c | 3,083$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Packers | 51c | 3,038$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Packers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Packers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lions | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.99 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Lions | 47c | 2,900$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.75 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…8e83backed Lions | 47c | 2,810$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Lions | 10c | 2,726$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Lions | 30c | 2,680$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.12 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Packers | 50c | 2,602$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.22 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…b4b5backed Packers | 54c | 2,593$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Lions | 49c | 2,569$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.89 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…7648backed Lions | 49c | 2,244$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Lions | 48c | 2,061$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.28 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 61c | 2,055$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.73 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lions | 14c | 2,016$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.9 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Packers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lions | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Packers | 53c | 1,984$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.31 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Lions | 32c | 1,938$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.85 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6275backed Packers | 52c | 1,930$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Packers | 51c | 1,923$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.27 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Packers | 53c | 1,894$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.92 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…2007backed Packers | 54c | 1,853$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Lions | 46c | 1,792$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.27 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Packers | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.99 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Packers | 53c | 1,537$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.42 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Packers | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Packers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Packers | 52c | 1,497$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Lions | 1c | 1,425$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Packers | 68c | 1,357$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.46 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Lions | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lions | 47c | 1,328$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.12 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Lions | 16c | 1,275$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lions | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.16 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8690…eb40backed Lions | 35c | 1,158$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…f3c4backed Packers | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Lions | 37c | 1,092$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Lions | 7c | 1,089$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Packers | 54c | 1,063$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…06d4backed Lions | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…63febacked Packers | 53c | 1,032$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…d7cdbacked Lions | 48c | 1,027$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…c97fbacked Lions | 48c | 1,010$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Lions | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…2a55backed Lions | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Packers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…9a0dbacked Packers | 54c | 989.2$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Lions | 48c | 960$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lions vs. Packersthis page
- Lions vs. Packers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Packers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.