TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,573

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Kraken41c12,000$4,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,897.532055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Kraken39c11,131$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,369.6136242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars61c9,514$5,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.771,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Kraken51c6,118$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.814151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken17c5,935$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.751,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars59c5,158$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.9192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Stars60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0005660.7%34 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars59c3,376$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.7127958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars53c2,634$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.973,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken41c2,553$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.941,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Stars59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02511354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars60c1,871$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.831,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Kraken33c1,823$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c4…a40abacked Stars59c1,809$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.873154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken40c1,777$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.71,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Stars63c1,336$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.310658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9a…c858backed Stars59c1,250$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Stars60c1,222$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.5850857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars60c1,200$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Stars58c1,188$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.1349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars45c1,110$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.5628842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Kraken40c1,090$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.8222842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Kraken43c996$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.282626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Stars57c996$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.281464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars59c982.78$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.9497651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kraken41c969$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.2986649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars58c956.9$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.923761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Stars60c890.52$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.2610448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Stars64c861.79$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.984330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Kraken36c851.41$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.7913348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken41c840.76$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5830549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken40c819$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Kraken24c814.24$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars61c781.22$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.6824457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kraken39c768.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Kraken42c714.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2915663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Stars78c622.69$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0941757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Stars60c553.33$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.337459.5%44 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10519548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken42c457.98$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Stars60c417.65$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.068959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Stars64c400.74$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.154067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Kraken30c377.22$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb65…3412backed Stars59c359.39$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.531770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked Stars77c350$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Stars57c332.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1932251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Kraken41c332.93$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.847240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f58…9c6abacked Stars79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kraken5c293$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.481895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Stars56c250$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Stars61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.911051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kraken22c239.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.744848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Stars60c236.19$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6611157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Kraken28c209.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8241340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…10d6backed Stars39c200$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1233729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Stars61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Stars58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.419149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Stars59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.499955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf07b…60a3backed Stars61c169.21$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.994257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Stars63c159.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.682751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Stars54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.730155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x008b…439bbacked Kraken40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Stars62c144$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7220861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30cd…f9f0backed Stars53c112.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.243828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Stars61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.94161%25 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827e…dd09backed Kraken43c109.4$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e6…d3dbbacked Kraken44c108.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa954…b8edbacked Stars58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Kraken22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Kraken31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e20…fd40backed Kraken23c99.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d45…117bbacked Stars58c89.86$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9abe…404fbacked Stars58c88.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.271030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aad…2cbbbacked Kraken43c88.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Stars57c87.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8360549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2bd…6822backed Kraken44c86.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe85…9cadbacked Kraken43c86.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken41c84.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa6…f1febacked Stars58c83.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f2…2de4backed Kraken43c83.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.911050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025d…371dbacked Stars57c82.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.38825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-50.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb46…4fb0backed Stars58c82.22$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.537100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+101.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3a…21a7backed Stars58c81.84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031f…e9aebacked Stars58c81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.021266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Stars43c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.611248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf15…547abacked Stars58c79.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.57875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ba…fbd8backed Kraken44c79.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x415c…0536backed Kraken43c76.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Stars61c66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.749064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Stars79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca39…ae4cbacked Kraken40c63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Kraken41c61.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0728440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ab9…c906backed Stars60c53.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.432060%12 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+70%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Stars63c49.42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1797955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4429…2e4dbacked Stars61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.188669.8%60 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd880…cb50backed Stars60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.