Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a07b2b0b026a1d5de566924f65a552441578b34303448366c0527e7cb236da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,241,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,636,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,241,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 25c | 409,185$102,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,296.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…4908backed Yes | 75c | 333,246$249,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,311.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes | 75c | 169,295$126,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,593.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 23c | 97,994$22,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,881.81 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 77c | 70,000$53,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,100 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 26c | 66,666$17,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,333.16 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 26c | 63,160$16,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,669.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 76c | 59,138$45,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,120.1 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 36,122$27,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,734.43 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 74c | 31,757$23,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,164.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 75c | 20,051$15,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.77 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 22c | 19,975$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394.47 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 25c | 11,935$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.35 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 27c | 10,959$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 25c | 10,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 22c | 9,322$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.6 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 25c | 8,730$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.09 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Yes | 74c | 8,357$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.28 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 23c | 7,326$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.2 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…56eabacked Yes | 78c | 6,888$5,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 26c | 6,731$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.06 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 23c | 6,190$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.31 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 23c | 5,610$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 8c | 4,886$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.34 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 76c | 4,507$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.88 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 26c | 3,404$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.62 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…06b7backed Yes | 75c | 3,176$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Yes | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 21c | 2,647$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.02 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 25c | 2,600$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 2,550$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 22c | 2,243$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.35 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 73c | 2,000$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 77c | 1,860$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.85 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 74c | 1,757$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.7 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 23c | 1,630$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.9 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 28c | 1,598$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed No | 26c | 1,550$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +269.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 27c | 1,496$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.24 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 75c | 1,395$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6004…6ecabacked No | 27c | 1,094$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 23c | 969.16$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.91 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9c…e860backed Yes | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 72c | 879.01$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 25c | 850.13$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 27c | 822$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.94 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 75c | 819.52$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 25c | 799.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 25c | 780.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Yes | 75c | 750$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 74c | 700.18$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 26c | 685$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.1 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 27c | 680$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 75c | 668$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…c57abacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked Yes | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 75c | 609.81$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.4 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 22c | 599.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 541$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 75c | 534$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 76c | 486.36$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.73 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 5c | 463.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5b0bbacked No | 22c | 431.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…9a0dbacked No | 26c | 424.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 395.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 27c | 374$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 76c | 369.74$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…71dabacked Yes | 75c | 366.63$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 75c | 356.61$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 27c | 343$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 75c | 333.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8915…1b98backed Yes | 78c | 307$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…c98dbacked Yes | 74c | 294.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 27c | 284$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 75c | 281.33$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 75c | 279.61$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 74c | 277.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Yes | 76c | 264.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 26c | 249.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 74c | 245.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 24c | 241$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.