Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24beba4efc79cd3babc26439aa9d4fc847adfdf78a22bba8c73d3b4aec9a072b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 10c | 7,980$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 9c | 7,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 11c | 4,653$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.67 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,391$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,320$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,100$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…2afdbacked Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 9c | 2,333$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…1ab3backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 11c | 1,311$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,126$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 993.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…c1cebacked Yes | 10c | 745.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 8c | 526.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 10c | 392.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 8c | 328.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c3…f584backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 8c | 249.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 8c | 238.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…874abacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…dd04backed Yes | 11c | 187.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ae…d00bbacked Yes | 10c | 175.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 10c | 173.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 9c | 167$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 16.9%12 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Leeds United end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.