TailMyPicks
Market

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oilersof Stars, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$689,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$737,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $689,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 342 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x245b…00c5backed Oilers57c127,280$72,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,003.268749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Stars43c120,000$51,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,60014057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Oilers79c62,101$49,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,904.5717448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Stars41c48,737$19,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,982.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Oilers59c40,017$23,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,236.9666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Oilers56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.991758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Stars43c39,042$16,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,744.9931546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Stars42c38,811$16,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,232.977758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers62c38,442$23,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,730.5226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Stars41c38,103$15,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,622.251631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Stars44c34,076$14,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,993.2410745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Oilers58c23,288$13,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,780.816642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Oilers57c23,000$13,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,89024457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc642…565ebacked Stars19c20,288$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.71717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Oilers58c15,000$8,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2505164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked Oilers61c14,906$9,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,813.351947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Stars38c13,352$5,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,022.5511441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers58c12,787$7,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,370.581,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c12,767$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.671,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Oilers59c10,695$6,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,378.286137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers60c10,343$6,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,140.595147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars40c9,260$3,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.1819555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Stars39c8,913$3,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,471.0721750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Oilers60c7,000$4,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,81081846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed Oilers77c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.514858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oilers57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5801,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars38c5,192$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.5192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Stars39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers60c5,000$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02075251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Oilers59c4,308$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.122646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers58c3,600$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.8851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Oilers58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.997352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Oilers57c3,400$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46239752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Oilers59c3,280$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.88854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Stars28c3,226$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.761,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Stars42c3,050$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2812416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Oilers59c2,925$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.3385464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Oilers58c2,842$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.5358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oilers74c2,658$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Stars31c2,569$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Oilers56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Oilers59c2,330$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.321,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x671c…46fbbacked Stars40c2,300$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Oilers66c2,288$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.228955.1%49 W · 40 L+9.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe116…73dfbacked Stars30c2,209$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e96…032fbacked Stars40c2,200$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Oilers60c2,015$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8061442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Stars40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb25…ce36backed Stars40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0ab…27d6backed Stars40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91b…d0acbacked Stars40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e9…b124backed Stars40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Stars27c1,860$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…2a73backed Oilers60c1,800$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Oilers59c1,788$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Oilers56c1,775$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa342…222fbacked Oilers60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1297…ed45backed Oilers75c1,671$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Oilers59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd6…a014backed Stars40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245c…aadabacked Oilers60c1,283$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Oilers63c1,278$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.131656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Oilers60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Oilers68c1,222$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0413363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Oilers57c1,170$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.11752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0d…a5dabacked Oilers60c1,150$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4a…7ee7backed Oilers60c1,150$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fff…d4b2backed Oilers60c1,150$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Stars42c1,130$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.4164242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Stars6c1,100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6554418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a49…b41bbacked Oilers60c1,083$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d4…efe2backed Oilers60c1,023$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Oilers61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39035154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9680…23bdbacked Oilers60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Oilers59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4106946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d2a…a437backed Oilers60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Stars44c983.78$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.861145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…e328backed Stars40c970$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ae…a897backed Stars40c930$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x379c…6f54backed Oilers60c917$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc9…50fabacked Oilers60c917$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e0d4backed Oilers60c877$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3661…b27cbacked Oilers60c850$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Oilers57c832$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.769942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7327…151abacked Stars38c776.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.157532%24 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Stars43c699.12$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.622040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Oilers59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9723047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Oilers59c676.27$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.278870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Oilers60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Stars5c600$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-52.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Stars42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25042751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Stars42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Oilers57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3219848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Oilers59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.475844.8%26 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Oilers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Stars42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Oilers59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Oilers70c499.84$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9511950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars39c488$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3248050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.