NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x339b3403a13323a31c6004569650cfaa3300989345279df9b9a6fe1ce060caa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Packers, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,873,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,049,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,873,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Packers | 53c | 2,158,629$1,143,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143,229.76 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Broncos | 47c | 1,380,876$645,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735,859.75 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Broncos | 47c | 560,723$265,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295,328.46 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0af8backed Broncos | 47c | 425,627$200,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,582.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…f9bebacked Packers | 53c | 199,954$105,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,975.87 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Packers | 53c | 155,000$82,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,150 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Broncos | 47c | 153,300$72,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,815.98 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 52c | 120,000$62,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,400 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Broncos | 47c | 116,000$54,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,480 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Broncos | 47c | 114,747$54,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,315.73 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Broncos | 48c | 105,578$50,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,678.23 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Packers | 52c | 84,862$44,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,128.2 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Broncos | 47c | 79,991$37,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,395.47 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos | 48c | 62,154$29,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,520.18 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Packers | 51c | 55,330$28,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,421.39 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Packers | 3c | 55,208$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.14 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Packers | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.98 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Broncos | 49c | 44,656$21,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,774.49 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Packers | 52c | 44,260$23,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,015 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Packers | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Broncos | 64c | 38,995$24,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,041.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Packers | 51c | 38,632$19,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,702.51 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Packers | 44c | 32,452$14,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,351.07 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Broncos | 48c | 29,629$14,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,407.08 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Packers | 4c | 27,967$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.92 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Packers | 53c | 26,519$14,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,055.14 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Broncos | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,250 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…194dbacked Broncos | 45c | 24,183$10,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,183.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Broncos | 60c | 23,873$14,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444.15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Packers | 52c | 22,318$11,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,605.58 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…cebbbacked Packers | 59c | 21,500$12,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,684.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Packers | 53c | 20,755$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Packers | 2c | 20,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Broncos | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Packers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Packers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,799.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Broncos | 46c | 19,361$8,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,485.1 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Packers | 53c | 18,874$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.66 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Packers | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Broncos | 45c | 16,430$7,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Broncos | 39c | 16,250$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,950 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Packers | 8c | 16,195$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.33 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Broncos | 48c | 15,705$7,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,166.67 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Broncos | 28c | 15,367$4,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,998.41 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Broncos | 48c | 15,000$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,859.96 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Broncos | 44c | 14,394$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.29 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…055dbacked Packers | 54c | 14,101$7,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,602.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Broncos | 74c | 13,278$9,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Packers | 11c | 12,699$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Broncos | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Packers | 54c | 11,332$6,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,119.04 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Packers | 39c | 11,189$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.53 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Packers | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Broncos | 47c | 10,078$4,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,341.08 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Broncos | 50c | 10,064$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Broncos | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Packers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…ae61backed Broncos | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Packers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Broncos | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Broncos | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.95 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Broncos | 47c | 9,574$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.47 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Packers | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Broncos | 43c | 9,135$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,237.24 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…ca67backed Broncos | 40c | 8,700$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Packers | 10c | 8,267$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Packers | 51c | 8,143$4,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.11 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed Broncos | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Packers | 54c | 7,891$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.04 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…3dd4backed Broncos | 36c | 7,523$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 24c | 7,170$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.9 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Packers | 50c | 7,131$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.65 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…e28abacked Packers | 61c | 7,052$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Packers | 53c | 7,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Broncos | 49c | 6,613$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.51 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Packers | 3c | 6,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Packers | 68c | 5,759$3,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Broncos | 47c | 5,747$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.65 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…3eeebacked Broncos | 35c | 5,482$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.38 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Packers | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Packers | 53c | 5,442$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Packers | 1c | 5,157$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Broncos | 48c | 5,000$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.64 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…5f30backed Packers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Packers | 53c | 4,968$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.98 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42fd…4661backed Broncos | 42c | 4,944$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Packers | 54c | 4,881$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.73 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Packers | 53c | 4,719$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Packers | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Broncos | 47c | 4,427$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.57 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Broncos | 45c | 4,407$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.29 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Packers | 52c | 4,362$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.24 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35d…4164backed Broncos | 49c | 4,282$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…75acbacked Packers | 51c | 4,270$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Broncos | 59c | 4,226$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.69 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Packers | 52c | 4,063$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.04 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Broncos | 51c | 4,048$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.89 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Packers | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Broncosthis page
- Packers vs. Broncos: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Over won
- Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.