NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008b7676adaa62866c528b5456d2becee5e49eb4a1d45d4a6cef32263b6ea188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Packers, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Broncos | 52c | 29,232$15,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,143.78 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 50c | 22,503$11,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,191.53 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Packers | 47c | 16,198$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,598.19 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Packers | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Broncos | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Broncos | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Broncos | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Packers | 48c | 3,271$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.5 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Broncos | 50c | 3,131$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.88 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Broncos | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 46c | 2,781$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.26 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Broncos | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Broncos | 39c | 1,920$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Packers | 48c | 1,863$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Packers | 48c | 1,856$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.88 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Packers | 51c | 1,550$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.7 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Broncos | 53c | 1,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…5d71backed Packers | 48c | 1,300$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Broncos | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Packers | 45c | 1,055$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.69 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Packers | 50c | 1,001$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Packers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Broncos | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…f756backed Broncos | 55c | 871.24$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Packers | 61c | 820.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Packers | 54c | 816.7$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.54 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Broncos | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Broncos | 54c | 717$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.82 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Packers | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Broncos | 54c | 648.5$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Packers | 47c | 640.94$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Broncos | 55c | 577.11$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.11 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Packers | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Packers | 48c | 430$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Broncos | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Broncos | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Packers | 49c | 336.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Packers | 48c | 330$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Broncos | 54c | 308.57$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Broncos | 54c | 279.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Packers | 45c | 244.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Packers | 47c | 241.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Broncos | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d3f2backed Packers | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Broncos | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Broncos | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…70f9backed Packers | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Packers | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Broncos | 52c | 167.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Broncos | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Broncos | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Packers | 48c | 109$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Packers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Broncos | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Broncos | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Packers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Packers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Broncos | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Broncos | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Broncos | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Broncos | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 47c | 87.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Packers | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Packers | 47c | 84.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Broncos | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Broncos | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Broncos | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Broncos | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Broncos | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Packers | 48c | 74.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Broncos | 50c | 70.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…ece2backed Packers | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Packers | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Packers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Broncos | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb3…9161backed Packers | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Broncos | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0488…aea5backed Broncos | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b11…5568backed Packers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Packers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Broncos | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Broncos | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Broncos | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Packers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Packers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Packers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Broncos | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-2.5)this page
- Packers vs. BroncosBroncos won
- Packers vs. Broncos: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 41.5Over won
- Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5Over won
- Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Broncos won
- Spread: Packers (-3.5)Broncos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.