NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19f97a2093a9a68721671ce8f49eeb2fb00f4652fcc9b331a2714df9a451dd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Raiders | 48c | 44,444$21,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,333.1 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Eagles | 51c | 35,620$18,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,456.2 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Raiders | 49c | 35,006$17,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,152.77 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Raiders | 49c | 33,356$16,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,344.42 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Eagles | 51c | 18,908$9,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,264.03 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Eagles | 52c | 17,935$9,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,609.13 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eagles | 52c | 15,897$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,661.9 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raiders | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Eagles | 53c | 9,976$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.72 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Eagles | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Eagles | 52c | 7,047$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.55 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Eagles | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Eagles | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Eagles | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Eagles | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Eagles | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Raiders | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles | 51c | 1,118$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.22 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Eagles | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raiders | 40c | 934.53$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.75 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Raiders | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Eagles | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Eagles | 57c | 641.51$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Eagles | 51c | 587.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Raiders | 45c | 528.18$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Raiders | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Eagles | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Raiders | 48c | 499.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.98 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Eagles | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Eagles | 51c | 400$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Eagles | 55c | 366.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.17 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Raiders | 47c | 303.89$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Eagles | 53c | 302$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.94 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Eagles | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Eagles | 52c | 248.08$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.08 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Eagles | 51c | 200.71$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Eagles | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Raiders | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raiders | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…1df2backed Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Eagles | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Eagles | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Raiders | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed Eagles | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…9c86backed Eagles | 52c | 147.83$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Eagles | 53c | 147.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eagles | 56c | 142.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eagles | 53c | 131.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Eagles | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Raiders | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Eagles | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f0…1a38backed Eagles | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…1cffbacked Eagles | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Raiders | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Eagles | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Raiders | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Eagles | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…47efbacked Raiders | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Raiders | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…c102backed Eagles | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…baa4backed Eagles | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Eagles | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Eagles | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Raiders | 51c | 88.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Raiders | 49c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Raiders | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…5332backed Raiders | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Eagles | 53c | 78.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…4acdbacked Raiders | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Eagles | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Eagles | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Eagles | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…7efbbacked Raiders | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Eagles | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Eagles | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Eagles | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…82e5backed Raiders | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…0c5cbacked Eagles | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…58b0backed Eagles | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Eagles | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Eagles | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Eagles | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Eagles | 53c | 35.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…f77bbacked Raiders | 48c | 30.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…140fbacked Eagles | 53c | 29.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…e371backed Raiders | 48c | 28.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6889…875dbacked Raiders | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…4aa5backed Eagles | 53c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…f184backed Eagles | 53c | 26.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…8410backed Raiders | 48c | 26.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Eagles | 52c | 25.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…39b7backed Eagles | 53c | 25.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…c51fbacked Raiders | 48c | 25.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…ae9fbacked Raiders | 48c | 25.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aea…9f4dbacked Eagles | 53c | 22.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…0482backed Eagles | 53c | 22.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…4cacbacked Raiders | 48c | 22.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…efd3backed Eagles | 53c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…9f48backed Eagles | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-11.5)this page
- Raiders vs. EaglesEagles won
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 37.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-12.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-13.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.