NFL · resolved market
Raiders vs. Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd3b4e4caebb1e2db713d4d78c04b2531e1997d410dd6336463bb2e6328b9c62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Raiders, Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $972,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,091,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $972,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Raiders | 13c | 143,293$18,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,628.06 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Raiders | 5c | 101,697$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.34 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raiders | 13c | 40,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Raiders | 13c | 36,820$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.59 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Raiders | 12c | 32,725$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034.73 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raiders | 13c | 28,512$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,706.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Raiders | 0c | 22,366$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Raiders | 0c | 20,082$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Raiders | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Raiders | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Raiders | 13c | 20,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.97 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Raiders | 14c | 15,945$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.24 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raiders | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…14d2backed Raiders | 13c | 9,026$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Raiders | 11c | 5,487$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…6cc5backed Raiders | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…7705backed Raiders | 5c | 5,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed Raiders | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7436…2ffbbacked Raiders | 15c | 4,361$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raiders | 13c | 3,838$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.01 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Raiders | 12c | 3,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raiders | 13c | 3,295$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.96 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…3ceebacked Raiders | 15c | 3,046$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…a903backed Raiders | 15c | 2,885$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10c…654ebacked Raiders | 15c | 2,538$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a43…2fcebacked Raiders | 13c | 2,371$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Raiders | 12c | 2,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbf…6867backed Raiders | 15c | 2,016$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Raiders | 13c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…2bebbacked Raiders | 15c | 1,931$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…3150backed Raiders | 15c | 1,826$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…32d6backed Raiders | 15c | 1,825$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9df…6f94backed Raiders | 15c | 1,816$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Raiders | 13c | 1,645$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…3bccbacked Raiders | 15c | 1,587$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Raiders | 14c | 1,587$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6850…4aa9backed Raiders | 15c | 1,525$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Raiders | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…7f84backed Raiders | 14c | 1,469$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Raiders | 9c | 1,448$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Raiders | 10c | 1,377$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Raiders | 15c | 1,352$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…8469backed Raiders | 2c | 1,228$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Raiders | 2c | 1,228$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87be…45f3backed Raiders | 15c | 1,206$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Raiders | 14c | 1,200$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Raiders | 6c | 1,147$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raiders | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b03…ae07backed Raiders | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Raiders | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…1fa4backed Raiders | 15c | 971$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Raiders | 9c | 950$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Raiders | 13c | 884.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Raiders | 14c | 856.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Raiders | 6c | 851.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a6…a1e0backed Raiders | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Raiders | 6c | 800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Raiders | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Raiders | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Raiders | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eab…b026backed Raiders | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Raiders | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 183 | 36.1%66 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…4d7cbacked Raiders | 11c | 629.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Raiders | 9c | 598.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870e…dd0bbacked Raiders | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99b…22c4backed Raiders | 15c | 567$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e85…0d9bbacked Raiders | 13c | 550$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed Raiders | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Raiders | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Raiders | 14c | 450.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Raiders | 13c | 423.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Raiders | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Raiders | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Raiders | 13c | 387.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Raiders | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3327…11debacked Raiders | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…0cbebacked Raiders | 13c | 334.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…e3c3backed Raiders | 16c | 314$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Raiders | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Raiders | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda98…a6a9backed Raiders | 15c | 299.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Raiders | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…8859backed Raiders | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Raiders | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Raiders | 12c | 219$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Raiders | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Raiders | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…ff84backed Raiders | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Raiders | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd823…e01bbacked Raiders | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Raiders | 7c | 175$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Raiders | 13c | 163.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…3ffebacked Raiders | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763d…d0f2backed Raiders | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9693backed Raiders | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…8069backed Raiders | 15c | 153$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Raiders | 12c | 149.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…c03abacked Raiders | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…2f6bbacked Raiders | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Raiders | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raiders vs. Eaglesthis page
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 37.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 39.5Under won
- Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-11.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-12.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-13.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.