UFC · resolved market
UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33e0f56694313bfb573e75700f13b19d6fee0845d18b94b04b938ff03917353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 42c | 5,953$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.38 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 39c | 1,908$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.13 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca0…8cb1backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed No | 42c | 995$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 35c | 955.87$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.55 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Yes | 57c | 867.8$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 39c | 761.39$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Yes | 60c | 620.71$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 587.56$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.59 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…a8f2backed Yes | 57c | 570$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…be75backed Yes | 63c | 558.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…811abacked Yes | 60c | 551.03$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 57c | 519.56$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 56c | 510.87$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…2d9fbacked Yes | 64c | 469.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 42c | 460.12$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 55c | 430.51$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d88…8d8ebacked Yes | 59c | 430$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…64ddbacked Yes | 57c | 430$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 56c | 348$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…16d8backed Yes | 65c | 323.02$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…2b47backed Yes | 58c | 283.21$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 36c | 279$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 58c | 248.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb65…45cabacked Yes | 61c | 245.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 60c | 232.03$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…f914backed No | 45c | 222.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…9299backed Yes | 60c | 190.15$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…abb3backed Yes | 59c | 186.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9641…ac5abacked Yes | 63c | 180.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Yes | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 61c | 167.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…a46ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…7566backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…ad93backed Yes | 59c | 152.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…c588backed Yes | 62c | 138.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed Yes | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…31a4backed Yes | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…9e66backed Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…2263backed Yes | 61c | 113.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 45c | 106.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…48fbbacked Yes | 63c | 105.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 42c | 104.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked No | 42c | 102.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…f21bbacked Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdea0…9f7abacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 61c | 99.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 55c | 97.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Yes | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes | 57c | 95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…87ebbacked Yes | 65c | 92.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…4fa2backed Yes | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…04a3backed Yes | 59c | 86.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d9…5f83backed Yes | 65c | 85.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…c956backed Yes | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…6850backed Yes | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…bebbbacked Yes | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…f8acbacked Yes | 62c | 80.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 41c | 80.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 59c | 68.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584e…50ddbacked No | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 59c | 60.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…d798backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 51.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…db47backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…9fb2backed No | 44c | 48.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…3ad8backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf543…cedfbacked Yes | 62c | 46.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577e…d0cabacked Yes | 65c | 41.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…b204backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7f…7bd6backed Yes | 61c | 32.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Yes | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…a406backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2436backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +111%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…1395backed Yes | 59c | 27.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…8d1abacked Yes | 61c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…2a58backed Yes | 63c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4f…0652backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb5…5cacbacked Yes | 63c | 23.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…9577backed Yes | 61c | 21.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9b…52aebacked Yes | 63c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?this page
- UFC 317: Will Oliveira Win By Decision?No won
- UFC 317: Will Oliveira Win By KO/TKO/DQ?No won
- UFC 317: Will Oliveira Win By Submission?No won
- UFC 317: Will Topuria Win By Decision?No won
- UFC 317: Will Topuria Win By Submission?No won
- UFC 317: Will Topuria vs. Oliveira end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.