Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6208bf7c62b0d806e6e37ebdf992a56893270a7ba3659a864c2d65580055a1f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Pegula | 25c | 26,454$6,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,611.66 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 24,450$18,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,048 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Pegula | 25c | 19,196$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.79 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56f…75efbacked Pegula | 11c | 18,173$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Sabalenka | 75c | 16,269$12,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.96 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Sabalenka | 66c | 14,021$9,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.41per pick | 68cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pegula | 22c | 12,309$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Sabalenka | 78c | 8,999$7,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Pegula | 26c | 8,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Pegula | 28c | 7,000$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.61 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pegula | 23c | 6,610$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.22 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Sabalenka | 75c | 6,454$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Sabalenka | 74c | 4,500$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Sabalenka | 76c | 4,442$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.15 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Pegula | 11c | 4,099$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Pegula | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Sabalenka | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Pegula | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pegula | 26c | 3,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pegula | 18c | 3,698$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.2 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Sabalenka | 74c | 3,561$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.08 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pegula | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pegula | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Sabalenka | 75c | 2,717$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.29 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Pegula | 24c | 2,357$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pegula | 21c | 2,349$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.13 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pegula | 25c | 2,167$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.84 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Pegula | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Sabalenka | 73c | 2,000$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.78 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Sabalenka | 73c | 1,945$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.61 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Sabalenka | 68c | 1,898$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pegula | 33c | 1,887$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Pegula | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Sabalenka | 62c | 1,845$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Pegula | 29c | 1,749$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Sabalenka | 76c | 1,711$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Pegula | 18c | 1,600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Sabalenka | 72c | 1,591$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.56 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3877…dcf0backed Pegula | 10c | 1,550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Pegula | 20c | 1,521$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Sabalenka | 76c | 1,502$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.53 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Pegula | 26c | 1,500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sabalenka | 78c | 1,481$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Sabalenka | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Sabalenka | 57c | 1,183$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.65 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Sabalenka | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Sabalenka | 58c | 1,000$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.52 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…1e7bbacked Pegula | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.30per pick | 31cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Pegula | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Pegula | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pegula | 25c | 996.21$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pegula | 25c | 961.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.41 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Pegula | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…abffbacked Pegula | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pegula | 25c | 884$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabalenka | 67c | 803$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.03 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Sabalenka | 75c | 788$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Sabalenka | 70c | 716.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Pegula | 14c | 710$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Sabalenka | 71c | 702.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Sabalenka | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Sabalenka | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pegula | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Pegula | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Pegula | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Pegula | 53c | 522.49$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.92 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Sabalenka | 74c | 494.65$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Sabalenka | 67c | 492.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…c066backed Pegula | 16c | 484.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabalenka | 77c | 389.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Sabalenka | 71c | 387.62$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…9071backed Pegula | 26c | 382.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Pegula | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 340$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sabalenka | 70c | 331$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…3aa4backed Sabalenka | 79c | 325.88$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Sabalenka | 67c | 324.4$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Sabalenka | 68c | 317.04$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pegula | 26c | 308.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…da34backed Sabalenka | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2729…e171backed Pegula | 31c | 300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Sabalenka | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…fc8ebacked Pegula | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Pegula | 31c | 241.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95d…b2a1backed Sabalenka | 74c | 224.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…f7b2backed Sabalenka | 74c | 220$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Sabalenka | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Pegula | 14c | 213.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Sabalenka | 71c | 212.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Pegula | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…141cbacked Pegula | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Pegula | 46c | 176.38$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sabalenka | 74c | 154$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5257backed Pegula | 14c | 151.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Pegula | 24c | 143.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sabalenka | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Sabalenka | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Sabalenka | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Sabalenka | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Sabalenka | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.