NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x124a517b8ad2bba12cceda4147f5cfd53590fb99ff54d24bcb96456070c1cf16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Stars, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $443,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Stars | 57c | 70,000$39,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,699.98 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Flames | 73c | 49,901$36,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,315.47 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Flames | 43c | 37,631$16,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,284.36 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flames | 42c | 31,103$13,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,039.79 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 64c | 27,546$17,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,982.6 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Stars | 57c | 23,936$13,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,643.27 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Stars | 52c | 22,893$11,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,965.2 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames | 44c | 22,889$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,891.12 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flames | 44c | 17,547$7,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,871.35 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Stars | 25c | 16,742$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,144.96 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Flames | 43c | 15,555$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,866.34 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…c770backed Flames | 72c | 14,098$10,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 56c | 10,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 43c | 8,995$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,127.09 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Stars | 52c | 8,343$4,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.98 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Flames | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Stars | 57c | 6,125$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,491 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 13c | 5,902$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Stars | 52c | 5,712$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Flames | 43c | 5,649$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.53 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Stars | 56c | 5,555$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.79 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.93 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 43c | 5,418$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.47 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flames | 43c | 5,225$2,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,989.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 32c | 5,002$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.31 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Stars | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stars | 57c | 4,948$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.76 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Stars | 47c | 4,768$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.16 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Stars | 57c | 4,484$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.97 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flames | 56c | 4,470$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.48 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Stars | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Flames | 43c | 3,720$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 57c | 3,479$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Flames | 75c | 3,394$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.79 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Flames | 46c | 3,255$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.47 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 57c | 3,068$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Stars | 56c | 2,976$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.14 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Flames | 43c | 2,950$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Stars | 34c | 2,948$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 52c | 2,805$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Stars | 28c | 2,799$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.62 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Flames | 43c | 2,750$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flames | 58c | 2,486$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.86 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Stars | 50c | 2,472$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.19 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stars | 41c | 2,459$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 56c | 2,336$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.89 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Flames | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Stars | 57c | 1,973$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.61 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 57c | 1,946$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.99 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1d64backed Flames | 44c | 1,818$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Stars | 56c | 1,700$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Flames | 1c | 1,424$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +689.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Stars | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Stars | 37c | 1,365$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Stars | 57c | 1,323$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 33c | 1,260$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.24 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…c2b6backed Stars | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 41c | 1,159$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.16 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Stars | 43c | 1,151$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Flames | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Stars | 30c | 1,128$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Flames | 36c | 1,121$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.56 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 57c | 1,119$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.83 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Stars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Flames | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Stars | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…6b98backed Stars | 54c | 919.44$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c85…cb03backed Stars | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Stars | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flames | 58c | 823.73$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Flames | 48c | 813$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.15 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars | 52c | 800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.76 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…25c5backed Flames | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 40c | 785.9$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.78 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Stars | 57c | 764.91$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Stars | 49c | 730$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Flames | 44c | 704.55$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.55 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stars | 52c | 702.67$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.79 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flames | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Stars | 54c | 696.12$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Stars | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Stars | 51c | 682.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 46c | 665.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.87 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 68c | 650$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.11 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Stars | 27c | 639$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.76 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Flames | 44c | 630$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Stars | 50c | 594.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Flames | 78c | 544.69$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…b3f6backed Stars | 12c | 533.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…714dbacked Stars | 57c | 530$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Stars | 57c | 528$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Stars | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Stars | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Flames | 48c | 523.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Stars | 24c | 503.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Stars | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…d119backed Flames | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Flamesthis page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Flames won
- Stars vs. Flames: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Flames: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.