NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b11496782d69b06d3cb7874e110307cc51465d75e03c1f5c636d0ca3e22ec8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Stars | 80c | 15,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 20c | 13,913$2,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kraken | 39c | 8,578$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.8 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Stars | 61c | 5,410$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.87 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Stars | 60c | 3,400$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.97 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Stars | 62c | 3,203$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.66 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Kraken | 39c | 2,897$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken | 40c | 2,850$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.48 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 60c | 2,838$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.14 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken | 40c | 2,610$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.97 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kraken | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Kraken | 40c | 1,997$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Stars | 60c | 1,997$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken | 39c | 1,989$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.82 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 62c | 1,810$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.62 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Stars | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Stars | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…0955backed Stars | 60c | 1,350$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7d…5816backed Kraken | 40c | 1,350$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Kraken | 37c | 1,263$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.31 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…1fc9backed Kraken | 20c | 1,243$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 38c | 1,234$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.78 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,153$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.2 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Kraken | 39c | 1,078$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.39 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kraken | 39c | 1,018$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a81ebacked Kraken | 40c | 960.08$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Stars | 60c | 960.08$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kraken | 38c | 927.42$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.42 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 62c | 895.16$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.16 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00e…d7c5backed Stars | 61c | 844.26$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Kraken | 39c | 817.43$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.8 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb738…4536backed Stars | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x756b…fab1backed Kraken | 40c | 780$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52da…c1f6backed Kraken | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Stars | 61c | 651.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.46 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Stars | 61c | 520.34$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.93 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Kraken | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Kraken | 6c | 499.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…651abacked Stars | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 24c | 485.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Stars | 63c | 473.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.28 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Stars | 61c | 466$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.74 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6369…feb1backed Stars | 61c | 372.13$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Stars | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Stars | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…438cbacked Stars | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Stars | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Stars | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Kraken | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Kraken | 24c | 296.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Stars | 71c | 285.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Stars | 61c | 281.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Kraken | 17c | 279.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Stars | 62c | 272.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars | 61c | 270.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcace…4fbdbacked Stars | 62c | 261.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Stars | 78c | 254.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Stars | 61c | 244.51$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 39c | 238.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Stars | 61c | 220$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kraken | 38c | 200.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Kraken | 39c | 200.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.02 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Stars | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Stars | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81e…ab79backed Stars | 77c | 156.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Kraken | 14c | 154.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kraken | 18c | 153.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 61c | 149.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Kraken | 39c | 127.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Kraken | 37c | 126.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Kraken | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed Kraken | 39c | 120.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…f1e0backed Kraken | 40c | 111.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…c906backed Stars | 62c | 106.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +70%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken | 39c | 102.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 65c | 100.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…a53dbacked Kraken | 40c | 100.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Stars | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Stars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd025…1c54backed Stars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Stars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed Stars | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Kraken | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kraken | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed Kraken | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Stars | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9185backed Kraken | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…5e0dbacked Kraken | 40c | 98.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…6d32backed Kraken | 40c | 95.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…1f6fbacked Kraken | 40c | 89.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…6d96backed Kraken | 40c | 84.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Stars | 62c | 83.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…bfa4backed Kraken | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…05cebacked Stars | 61c | 82.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 60cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8eb3backed Kraken | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…b280backed Stars | 62c | 79.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Stars | 61c | 77.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.