TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$562,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d61…12f6backed Yes10c86,785$8,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,272.6560%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes0c55,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-46.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes25c54,100$13,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,255.97326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes23c39,951$9,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,008.08917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes23c36,263$8,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,473.911225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-45.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes11c25,469$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.21414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-62.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed No68c25,406$17,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,189.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes12c20,500$2,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes15c19,179$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.072718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes0c15,593$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.766334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Yes40c8,836$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc0…d9f4backed Yes15c6,552$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.342913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No73c5,407$3,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.053447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd3…9309backed Yes11c4,854$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.9660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Yes4c4,686$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.97728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick19cpaid-43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes41c4,444$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.04728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af6…9508backed Yes8c3,428$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb936…7c57backed Yes38c2,901$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…6973backed Yes3c2,732$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1160%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes12c2,240$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+82.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes13c2,202$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.224323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes36c2,083$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f82…d6abbacked Yes16c1,573$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25570%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes23c1,369$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Yes13c1,340$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.270%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe5…0309backed Yes2c1,075$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-59%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c1,072$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.282953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78fa…dcc7backed Yes9c1,054$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d60…03d8backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-80.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes11c910.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes10c812$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9510850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No55c800$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes37c750$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.755341.5%22 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed Yes8c710.35$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.54520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+80.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Yes4c693.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes39c623.45$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.79130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c606.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.494520%9 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes24c515$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4243…dae3backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd383…03c7backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes40c497.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes11c485.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.45825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8e…3d89backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes12c446.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.381010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-74.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…affbbacked Yes47c427.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…6307backed Yes11c426.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes5c413.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f8…5a3cbacked Yes10c409.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6545…3723backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a3…7838backed Yes38c388$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes42c387.5$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6960%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cec…1ef6backed Yes41c363.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf535…7c3abacked Yes6c349.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b7b…9489backed Yes21c346.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd65d…2d93backed Yes43c345.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5917…7c54backed Yes21c337.39$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.51520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…6a7bbacked Yes15c327.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-76.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd02…60e0backed Yes4c310$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ae…be7fbacked Yes16c310$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198b…a1dcbacked Yes14c306$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Yes33c303.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c05…36b3backed Yes11c290.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No78c290.61$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.952725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4683…84c2backed Yes37c279.46$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab1…3d4cbacked Yes15c271.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes12c270$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2320%0 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e4…2089backed Yes15c258.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick23cpaid+169.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xace2…9b56backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-70.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes40c250$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.754916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…c7a1backed Yes13c237.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9292…2cd1backed Yes13c233.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6b…9b91backed Yes12c232.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0cb…8e37backed Yes21c210.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ab…ecf7backed Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x120e…136dbacked Yes33c180.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc2…d32ebacked Yes13c156.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8926…5aacbacked Yes27c147.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b19…50b7backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Yes21c141.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf216…c8e6backed Yes42c119.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…007bbacked Yes43c116.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Yes25c114$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7660%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…e279backed Yes11c110$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes11c100.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.014035%14 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122825%7 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc49…174ebacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.840%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67db…21adbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x358c…4d45backed Yes15c95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.