TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,428 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes4c16,723$652 inLost-$652.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes2c16,500$272 inLost-$272.44224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes1c13,861$208 inLost-$207.9520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-68.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes1c11,234$135 inLost-$134.81425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes4c10,000$420 inLost-$419.83326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Yes4c9,000$360 inLost-$3601216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c5,199$186 inLost-$185.92917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes1c3,391$36 inLost-$36.06825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acd…30e2backed Yes5c3,005$164 inLost-$164.04714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Yes1c2,500$32 inLost-$32.52010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes4c2,000$76 inLost-$7640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes4c1,500$67 inLost-$67.392913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-65.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes4c1,500$59 inLost-$594916.3%8 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…6a7bbacked Yes4c1,387$57 inLost-$56.85119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-76.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ae…be7fbacked Yes4c1,282$50 inLost-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes4c1,000$39 inLost-$3970%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes5c900$41 inLost-$41.39130%0 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes4c807$30 inLost-$29.961315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes5c658.48$30 inLost-$308118.5%15 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes5c541.11$25 inLost-$251910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f8…5a3cbacked Yes5c513.51$25 inLost-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes6c437.27$25 inLost-$25520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes4c300$11 inLost-$11.120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Yes4c243.9$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e5…925fbacked Yes5c214.39$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.