Golf · resolved market
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Masters?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca031ab7ec648bc575852cb54fc1f0c618885817ec50f2cc29bc72a4e19d214a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $190,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 8c | 53,882$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,146.31 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 7c | 21,865$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.19 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes | 4c | 16,500$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.35 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 6c | 15,000$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.98 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed Yes | 6c | 10,762$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 2c | 5,346$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e94…efb5backed Yes | 7c | 4,807$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 7c | 3,500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.61 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 7c | 2,927$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,878$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 295 | 3.7%11 W · 284 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…748abacked Yes | 7c | 2,703$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Yes | 4c | 2,329$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 7c | 2,303$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.45 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…1ef6backed Yes | 7c | 2,090$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 6c | 2,052$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Yes | 4c | 1,900$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…f3e7backed Yes | 6c | 1,565$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 6c | 1,563$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 7c | 1,469$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 1,396$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…83a2backed Yes | 7c | 1,337$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5e…0d9fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,257$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 7c | 1,049$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Yes | 5c | 1,035$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Yes | 7c | 995.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ae…be7fbacked Yes | 6c | 783.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 5c | 750$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…f663backed Yes | 6c | 615.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 531$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…9b56backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…e78ebacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfd…c364backed Yes | 5c | 406$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…c62cbacked Yes | 4c | 367.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…6a7bbacked Yes | 6c | 317.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 6c | 312.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Yes | 10c | 251.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc8…a39cbacked Yes | 12c | 230$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f6…7742backed Yes | 11c | 215.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…2089backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +169.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…5a66backed Yes | 6c | 196$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd838…56dbbacked Yes | 6c | 183$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…0710backed Yes | 6c | 166.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…a8c4backed Yes | 6c | 156.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 153$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…ca01backed Yes | 7c | 145.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8d…4b49backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Masters?this page
- Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Cameron Young win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Corey Conners win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Justin Rose win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?Yes won
- Will Russell Henley win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Sam Burns win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Shane Lowry win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Tom Kim win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Tony Finau win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 Masters?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Masters?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.