TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$256,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,162 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d61…12f6backed Yes3c69,525$2,361 inLost-$2,360.8660%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Yes2c22,000$416 inLost-$4161216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes2c16,500$344 inLost-$344.43224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes3c10,000$262 inLost-$262.11326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd3…9309backed Yes5c8,535$400 inLost-$40060%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes3c7,966$200 inLost-$200316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b35…cdb5backed Yes4c7,835$298 inLost-$297.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes2c6,714$161 inLost-$161.142611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acd…30e2backed Yes3c6,024$191 inLost-$190.62714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c5,098$192 inLost-$192.45917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b62…748abacked Yes6c4,880$300 inLost-$300520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0e9…2106backed Yes4c2,164$80 inLost-$8010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,952$50 inLost-$49.622953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27d1…43a0backed Yes4c1,747$74 inLost-$74.550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…6b05backed Yes2c1,726$37 inLost-$37.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…315cbacked Yes2c1,710$36 inLost-$35.82120%0 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes2c1,250$27 inLost-$27.51315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9171…a0c6backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost-$2570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…6a7bbacked Yes3c998.62$29 inLost-$28.85119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-76.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Yes4c573.48$21 inLost-$211421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…4febbacked Yes2c555.5$11 inLost-$11.11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…ec25backed Yes2c550$11 inLost-$11.1837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+70.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17f6…93a2backed Yes2c500$10 inLost-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad44…c378backed Yes5c491.7$23 inLost-$2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Yes3c345.4$10 inLost-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.