TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x17f6…93a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4634.8%16 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$921.43
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$38.8
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$64.43
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+27.3%+$40.98
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$42.02
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.49
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$98.51
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+28.7%+$86
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.75
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Saquon Barkley score a TD in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.64
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+58.1%+$14.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+89.4%+$44.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$17.3
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.38
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.