NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2e2fbba5ad169bc4a8fc4d50f789076edf6e67bde29bf54a3924b9cad44b691
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Bucks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $824,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $866,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Cavaliers | 69c | 294,254$202,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,295.56 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bucks | 31c | 182,500$56,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,400 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Bucks | 31c | 80,000$24,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,799.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Cavaliers | 69c | 61,843$42,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,171.35 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bucks | 32c | 55,892$17,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,775.83 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Cavaliers | 69c | 41,930$28,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,031.43 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks | 29c | 38,870$11,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.21 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers | 68c | 24,673$16,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,848.49 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Bucks | 32c | 24,544$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,853.86 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 18,391$12,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,763.65 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Bucks | 32c | 15,157$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,869.52 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cavaliers | 79c | 14,719$11,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.59 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bucks | 31c | 14,148$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 20c | 10,188$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.55 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Cavaliers | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 66c | 9,657$6,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.54 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cavaliers | 71c | 7,034$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.71 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bucks | 31c | 6,666$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.46 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Cavaliers | 68c | 6,400$4,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.98 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Cavaliers | 69c | 5,879$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.77 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bucks | 22c | 5,341$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.13 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Cavaliers | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 14c | 4,996$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.49 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Cavaliers | 74c | 4,745$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.58 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Bucks | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Cavaliers | 69c | 4,232$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.88 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bucks | 32c | 4,219$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bucks | 9c | 4,042$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Bucks | 23c | 3,888$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.45 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Bucks | 46c | 3,838$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.3 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bucks | 30c | 3,787$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.2 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…5823backed Bucks | 24c | 3,675$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb644…d6e1backed Bucks | 11c | 3,330$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.3 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Bucks | 30c | 3,289$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.79 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Bucks | 28c | 3,147$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.82 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 31c | 3,145$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.41 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Bucks | 32c | 3,114$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.47 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 32c | 3,100$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 3,061$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 74c | 3,035$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bucks | 24c | 2,879$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 2,794$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.14 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…de85backed Bucks | 16c | 2,576$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…1accbacked Bucks | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630c…3801backed Bucks | 25c | 2,434$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Bucks | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 2,300$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 29c | 2,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.25 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 29c | 1,977$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Bucks | 31c | 1,960$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.69 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…3f91backed Bucks | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 1,912$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks | 5c | 1,909$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Bucks | 34c | 1,844$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,666$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…1298backed Cavaliers | 77c | 1,645$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,633$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.89 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bucks | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 30c | 1,466$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.69 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Cavaliers | 68c | 1,439$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers | 68c | 1,424$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.68 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa04…5ed1backed Bucks | 18c | 1,391$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 1,366$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.39 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 1c | 1,233$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Cavaliers | 74c | 1,131$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bucks | 11c | 1,114$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers | 73c | 1,098$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Bucks | 32c | 1,054$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Bucks | 28c | 1,033$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.13 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Bucks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Cavaliers | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Bucks | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Bucks | 32c | 820$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.4 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 810.03$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bucks | 32c | 784.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bucks | 31c | 769.38$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.51 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Bucks | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Bucks | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 36c | 678$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Bucks | 30c | 665.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Bucks | 27c | 653$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Bucks | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Bucks | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 27c | 613.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…230fbacked Bucks | 17c | 586.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…d34abacked Bucks | 27c | 563.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Bucks | 32c | 562.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bucks | 3c | 549.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 536$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cavaliers | 72c | 500.29$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.53 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Bucks | 13c | 500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bucks | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…4198backed Bucks | 13c | 460.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 32c | 460$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…315dbacked Bucks | 19c | 426.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Bucks | 32c | 423.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…4c21backed Bucks | 29c | 416.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…e47bbacked Bucks | 31c | 402.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Cavaliersthis page
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.