NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ddff6c9155dfbecc521b4f8979bd45741427a6667b3bd04b975dd15cbe2b8c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,539,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,598,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,539,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 598 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Lakers | 40c | 178,349$70,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,555.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…a199backed Kings | 40c | 114,823$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lakers | 40c | 80,024$32,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,652.49 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Kings | 61c | 75,997$46,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,098.33 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…7ccbbacked Lakers | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,499.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 45c | 47,684$21,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,260.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Kings | 66c | 44,255$29,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,065.99 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Kings | 59c | 44,188$26,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,129.4 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Lakers | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kings | 58c | 37,222$21,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,462.21 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kings | 56c | 29,813$16,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,593.57 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 10c | 24,996$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.51 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 50c | 23,841$12,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,023.07 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 59c | 23,797$14,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,004.77 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 37c | 23,429$8,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,678.77 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Kings | 45c | 22,673$10,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,255.73 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Lakers | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…d1c4backed Lakers | 35c | 16,983$5,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,038.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 70c | 16,897$11,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,149.11 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Kings | 60c | 16,633$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kings | 58c | 16,209$9,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,377.55 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Lakers | 43c | 15,794$6,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,967.04 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 55c | 14,027$7,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,747.44 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 59c | 13,941$8,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,293.43 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 47c | 12,214$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kings | 36c | 12,068$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.52 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings | 49c | 11,877$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lakers | 43c | 11,507$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.45 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Kings | 46c | 11,117$5,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.64 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Lakers | 48c | 10,407$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,405.97 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Lakers | 41c | 10,386$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,140.89 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 52c | 10,170$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 45c | 10,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.85 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…063dbacked Lakers | 54c | 9,216$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…05e2backed Kings | 46c | 9,200$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Kings | 59c | 9,185$5,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,405.26 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…ace5backed Kings | 47c | 9,032$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers | 39c | 9,010$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,502.21 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings | 25c | 8,719$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Kings | 68c | 8,131$5,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,528.83 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 57c | 8,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Kings | 55c | 7,306$4,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,018.21 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Lakers | 40c | 6,939$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Kings | 59c | 6,211$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.65 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Lakers | 60c | 5,946$3,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.42 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…4b9dbacked Lakers | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Lakers | 40c | 5,511$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Kings | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Lakers | 46c | 5,450$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…98afbacked Kings | 14c | 5,305$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Lakers | 42c | 5,160$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…0fa5backed Lakers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Lakers | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kings | 60c | 4,988$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.8 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 58c | 4,721$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.2 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lakers | 54c | 4,540$2,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.23 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lakers | 44c | 4,344$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.29 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Kings | 46c | 4,338$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.39 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…8afbbacked Lakers | 60c | 4,162$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Kings | 44c | 3,636$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Lakers | 41c | 3,519$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.52 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Kings | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kings | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.01 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Lakers | 60c | 3,480$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.87 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Lakers | 49c | 3,469$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lakers | 48c | 3,384$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.34 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 56c | 3,325$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kings | 50c | 3,306$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.28 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a7…5f17backed Lakers | 31c | 3,237$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Kings | 47c | 3,193$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.66 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Kings | 58c | 3,132$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Lakers | 40c | 3,014$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed Kings | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1a…dce1backed Lakers | 41c | 2,915$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…1b1ebacked Kings | 60c | 2,914$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lakers | 35c | 2,538$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.29 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kings | 22c | 2,430$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.11 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Kings | 59c | 2,416$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.12 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 52c | 2,368$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.42 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…1930backed Lakers | 48c | 2,345$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.26 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Lakers | 42c | 2,260$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.34 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…79efbacked Kings | 59c | 2,230$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 55c | 2,146$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa04…5ed1backed Lakers | 33c | 2,112$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Lakers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Kings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Lakers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd715…915abacked Kings | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lakers | 41c | 1,925$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.32 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kings | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Lakers | 40c | 1,800$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.5 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Lakers | 41c | 1,766$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Kings | 47c | 1,766$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 39c | 1,645$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.33 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Kings | 62c | 1,603$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Kings | 63c | 1,600$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.28 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lakers | 48c | 1,565$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.47 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Kings | 60c | 1,541$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.85 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Kings | 55c | 1,537$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Lakers | 48c | 1,521$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.02 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Kings won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.