Golf · resolved market
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1410a7a08f430007ea8058b6caea22aad229400c6ebb2c6d67270b49b53462
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3da8…d985backed Yes | 4c | 3,629$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Yes | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 1c | 2,359$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…412bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,573$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 7c | 1,364$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…51cfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,027$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Yes | 6c | 983.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…200cbacked Yes | 3c | 841.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 2c | 605.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 569.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 67 | 1.5%1 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -94%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 26c | 526$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1221…5aadbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +640.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…6056backed Yes | 26c | 418.67$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 79c | 386.08$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 21c | 386.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…add3backed Yes | 4c | 269.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e0…0628backed Yes | 4c | 250.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…2f3dbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5f…d727backed Yes | 26c | 193.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…93a2backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 25c | 106.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…919dbacked Yes | 16c | 99.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 24c | 79.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed No | 77c | 74.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…ff48backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 26c | 58.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…9db4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…255dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?this page
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?Yes won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Marco Penge win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.