Golf · resolved market
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4670327b5c1b10b1cd7bdcc67f47eb3e421fdbd051b3f5396055f6ee78cdb325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d1f…4965backed Yes | 16c | 5,312$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,934$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.77 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,272$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.62 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 32c | 2,176$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 13c | 2,051$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 9c | 1,807$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed No | 75c | 1,800$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9702…1042backed Yes | 18c | 1,640$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…dff9backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 1,421$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 34c | 1,025$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 7c | 933.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 806.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Yes | 11c | 718.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 19c | 697.08$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b5…68e1backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…5921backed Yes | 15c | 458.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 54 | 9.3%5 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 404.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 67 | 1.5%1 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -94%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…f73ebacked Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 17c | 332.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…9a5ebacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 68c | 251$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 33c | 225$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 14c | 203.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc034…3ff7backed Yes | 10c | 203.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 71c | 192.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…ac4ebacked Yes | 13c | 160.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…b37dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 67c | 122$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…b101backed Yes | 17c | 107.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ea…0d10backed Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…919dbacked Yes | 33c | 105.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e0…07d3backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…de7ebacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4c1bbacked Yes | 15c | 95.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 73c | 94.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed No | 68c | 83.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…fe55backed Yes | 20c | 68.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7862…0cdebacked Yes | 25c | 67.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 76c | 66.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 63.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 22c | 63.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…caf5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Yes | 34c | 59.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3a…b9c6backed Yes | 25c | 59.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…7546backed Yes | 31c | 51.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…ea00backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d9…8608backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Yes | 37c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…87b0backed Yes | 35c | 31.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…bf13backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?this page
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?Yes won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Marco Penge win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.