Golf · resolved market

Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5208b74812a07f10e65d56dd32cf52b2b8a7a8cd812fa096e9aaac507ad04a0b

Rebuilt 28 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $147,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,009 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0e1d…0c53backed Yes	69c	55,152$38,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,974.73	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No	19c	33,427$6,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,275.38	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc086…b1afbacked No	22c	9,038$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	39c	7,527$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,922.55	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes	70c	6,952$4,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,067.34	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked No	5c	5,100$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	16cpaid	-90.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed No	19c	4,255$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809	48	10.4%5 W · 43 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-76.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	19c	4,133$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.13	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No	10c	2,885$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.26	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed No	20c	2,605$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.52	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+3.2wins	+0.27per pick	40cpaid	+210.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc9b7…7984backed No	51c	2,500$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No	7c	2,395$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.45	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed No	9c	1,867$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-80.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No	8c	1,661$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.52	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed No	59c	1,617$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.73	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed No	21c	1,424$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	72c	1,396$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$396.51	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5661…5921backed Yes	67c	990.08$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.05	54	9.3%5 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-76.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	10c	909.88$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed No	72c	329.99$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.29	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes	80c	329$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.92	101	23.8%24 W · 77 L	+7.6wins	+0.08per pick	16cpaid	+44%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No	14c	315.06$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.33	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No	65c	297.43$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.33	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes	11c	285.03$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.03	72	4.2%3 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f4…8c52backed No	21c	235.85$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a18…2d35backed No	11c	234.51$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5e…9a5ebacked Yes	79c	224.09$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes	15c	210$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.52	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed No	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…5fd0backed No	23c	195.9$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ae…97c0backed No	12c	175.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No	9c	163.53$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3da…0088backed No	13c	160.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	18cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9853…e86abacked Yes	10c	110$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+100%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4354…756bbacked No	12c	104.09$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x84ff…9f4abacked No	20c	101.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…b37dbacked No	20c	101.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4cf…78c4backed No	24c	88.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	20c	85.58$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.91	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No	14c	84.84$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	67	1.5%1 W · 66 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-94%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0712…35d1backed Yes	77c	50.32$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7307…7d23backed No	42c	47.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Yes	53c	27.21$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.73	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event