NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x459797318fa12d83a7ff88086d3b2030ecbe6e19d6ce39f906684fc0bd3e1aa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,774,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,941,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,774,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Knicks | 1c | 220,454$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Knicks | 31c | 187,980$58,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,291.67 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks | 32c | 85,175$27,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,426.58 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks | 4c | 74,383$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.54 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…2b15backed Celtics | 69c | 71,565$49,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,185.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks | 1c | 50,427$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 68c | 41,121$27,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,303.76 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Celtics | 69c | 36,181$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,180.93 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Knicks | 17c | 30,231$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 7c | 30,063$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.47 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Celtics | 72c | 27,971$20,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791.58 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Celtics | 68c | 27,000$18,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,639.97 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…e5ecbacked Knicks | 5c | 23,500$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Celtics | 70c | 22,783$15,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,834.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Knicks | 32c | 21,513$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,884.22 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Celtics | 69c | 20,233$13,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,261.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Knicks | 18c | 20,160$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,576.8 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Knicks | 1c | 20,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68fb…17acbacked Knicks | 9c | 19,284$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Knicks | 2c | 18,699$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks | 31c | 17,204$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.37 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Knicks | 0c | 16,289$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Celtics | 69c | 15,602$10,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 0c | 15,518$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Celtics | 78c | 14,746$11,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.11 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Knicks | 1c | 14,305$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Celtics | 69c | 13,857$9,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.69 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b09…bca8backed Knicks | 1c | 13,853$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Knicks | 32c | 13,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Knicks | 1c | 12,266$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.95 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Knicks | 31c | 12,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.95 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 69c | 11,687$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.32 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 69c | 11,657$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.16 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Celtics | 69c | 11,611$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,645.52 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Knicks | 6c | 11,080$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.6 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Knicks | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Knicks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Celtics | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Knicks | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Knicks | 32c | 9,999$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Knicks | 32c | 9,933$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.42 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks | 30c | 8,326$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.83 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…f6dbbacked Celtics | 69c | 7,920$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…0c2fbacked Knicks | 32c | 7,830$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…1390backed Knicks | 30c | 7,638$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 70c | 7,358$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.08 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 67c | 7,238$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.92 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 71c | 6,984$4,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.01 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Knicks | 1c | 6,897$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Knicks | 0c | 6,848$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 69c | 6,800$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.05 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Knicks | 18c | 6,600$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Celtics | 68c | 6,500$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Knicks | 5c | 6,476$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 32c | 6,255$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.57 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Celtics | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…5684backed Knicks | 1c | 6,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Knicks | 3c | 5,262$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Celtics | 74c | 5,075$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.68 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Knicks | 5c | 5,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Knicks | 10c | 5,000$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Knicks | 4c | 4,998$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Knicks | 5c | 4,968$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.96 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Knicks | 11c | 4,840$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.8 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Knicks | 11c | 4,709$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.99 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Knicks | 32c | 4,688$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Celtics | 78c | 4,513$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.56 | 197 | 8.6%17 W · 180 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…ee2ebacked Knicks | 0c | 4,167$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Knicks | 22c | 4,020$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b8adbacked Celtics | 69c | 4,008$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Knicks | 12c | 4,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Knicks | 0c | 3,864$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c4…133ebacked Knicks | 7c | 3,780$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…7ab3backed Knicks | 1c | 3,647$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Celtics | 69c | 3,630$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Celtics | 69c | 3,600$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Celtics | 69c | 3,563$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.04 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 20c | 3,550$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.76 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…1d41backed Knicks | 3c | 3,366$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Knicks | 32c | 3,358$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Knicks | 4c | 3,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked Celtics | 69c | 3,255$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Knicks | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Celtics | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.98 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Knicks | 0c | 2,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Knicks | 27c | 2,881$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Knicks | 32c | 2,855$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.19 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Celtics | 73c | 2,849$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.4 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…0201backed Knicks | 1c | 2,828$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…512bbacked Knicks | 10c | 2,800$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.06 | 219 | 35.6%78 W · 141 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Knicks | 5c | 2,681$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd9…1c2cbacked Knicks | 25c | 2,610$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Knicks | 30c | 2,600$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b08…c459backed Knicks | 6c | 2,582$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Celtics | 77c | 2,572$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.96 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Knicks | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Celtics | 76c | 2,488$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.04 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Knicks | 2c | 2,405$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Knicksthis page
- Over 204.5Over won
- Over 205.5Over won
- Over 206.5Over won
- Over 207.5Over won
- Over 208.5Under won
- Over 209.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.