TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Florida vs. Houston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Floridaof Florida, Houston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,635,219
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,736,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,635,219 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 480 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa49b…4c40backed Florida67c338,700$227,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,649.548644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038d…d484backed Houston49c238,382$117,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117,940.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb400…1ed9backed Florida45c210,868$94,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,673.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e66…0401backed Houston50c204,687$102,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,067.651020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb843…1b3fbacked Florida52c195,544$100,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,816.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Houston48c189,603$91,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,719.033455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4727…aa86backed Houston57c126,861$72,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,833.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Houston48c119,933$57,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,954.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Houston59c85,728$50,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,673.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Houston36c85,027$30,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,454.97912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Florida51c74,444$37,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,677.761643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Houston48c60,000$28,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,799.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Houston50c55,753$27,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,828.183641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Florida52c50,192$26,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,092.362917.2%5 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Florida47c48,950$23,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,880.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb00f…db97backed Florida48c41,958$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,958.044100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+141.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Florida61c41,737$25,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,472.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Florida45c41,525$18,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,969.894761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Florida44c34,779$15,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,317.4110041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Houston53c27,611$14,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,709.772770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Florida51c26,200$13,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,838742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4c…685dbacked Florida44c22,649$9,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,661.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Houston50c20,858$10,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,513.826643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x652c…650cbacked Houston49c20,408$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Houston49c18,499$9,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,064.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Houston59c18,483$10,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,930.11145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Florida51c12,985$6,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,344.781258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Florida51c12,000$6,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,929.9742948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Florida52c11,725$6,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,658.174035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Houston49c10,851$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,316.991822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Houston31c10,767$3,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,383.683243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Houston49c10,049$4,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.014831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc954…bdf5backed Florida51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Florida52c9,664$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,663.655100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Florida52c9,331$4,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,478.72222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Florida28c9,315$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,739.384242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston53c9,208$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.511,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…21debacked Houston49c9,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd42…99a4backed Houston80c8,558$6,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,84620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Florida52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8401136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Florida51c8,000$4,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.981250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Houston49c7,000$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43010739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Houston56c6,519$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.94542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Houston22c6,436$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Houston49c6,214$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,044.632828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Florida29c6,140$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.244932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Florida48c6,100$2,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x213e…cd72backed Houston49c6,094$3,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,011.71833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f6…e0a1backed Houston69c5,351$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,692.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Florida39c5,227$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.0910236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Houston67c5,136$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,423.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-52.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Houston48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Houston49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb012…ce7fbacked Houston52c4,810$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba1f…f71bbacked Houston44c4,540$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Houston58c4,344$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Florida52c4,300$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.871978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Florida44c4,194$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Houston49c4,129$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.121560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Houston53c4,102$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1791957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Houston49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9607337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Houston48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.964450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Florida52c3,971$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.986440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Houston49c3,849$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.962,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Houston49c3,766$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,845.1216135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Florida49c3,255$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,665.6920548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Florida52c3,115$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb004…51b4backed Houston49c3,060$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+85.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Florida52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc970…b063backed Florida35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff1d…a6febacked Houston50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a8…3094backed Florida51c2,941$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston54c2,818$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.93,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Florida41c2,775$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Houston50c2,675$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.554226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Florida24c2,620$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,983.229745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Florida38c2,612$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.54887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48ee…83dabacked Houston49c2,459$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93c…17b2backed Florida52c2,326$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe367…f235backed Florida38c2,308$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Florida44c2,252$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Houston48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.563650%18 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Florida50c2,140$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.566440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c70…232abacked Florida52c2,112$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Florida42c2,075$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.592924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Florida52c2,043$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.63447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Houston49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Houston69c2,000$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3701,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Houston48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9608232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67f2…76a8backed Houston50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Florida44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201225%3 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ea…22ecbacked Florida44c1,928$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4f…12a3backed Florida52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1617…6991backed Florida52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Florida50c1,890$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.962564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Houston48c1,882$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.28922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Houston49c1,855$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.812055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Houston57c1,831$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.59641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Florida45c1,812$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Florida50c1,784$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.311428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.