TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Giants vs. Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lionsof Giants, Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,103,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,838,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,103,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27cb…169ebacked Giants14c243,827$33,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,379.795431.5%17 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Giants11c200,410$22,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,045.110333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Giants43c170,133$72,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,912.4430043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Lions36c160,267$57,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,809.596248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Giants12c114,001$13,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,680.1219553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Giants12c96,300$11,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,130.0830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Giants53c69,382$36,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,661.3173651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Giants14c68,006$9,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,520.8814342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Giants53c27,118$14,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,284.2775852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Giants14c25,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Giants12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016832.1%54 W · 114 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Giants12c19,998$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giants49c19,090$9,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,426.0820026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Lions59c17,765$10,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,204.8910144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants13c16,948$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.2712144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf4…8860backed Giants14c16,714$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3407626.3%20 W · 56 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Lions66c14,702$9,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.7211643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Giants15c14,193$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,130.193423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Giants30c11,340$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.438532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants59c11,215$6,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.1268446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Lions64c10,874$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,873.927557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Giants14c9,796$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,378.747248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Lions54c8,255$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.411520%3 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Lions79c7,749$6,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.444671.7%33 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Giants32c6,108$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.247738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…3b5dbacked Giants12c6,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Giants11c5,802$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.2325744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc85…3532backed Giants11c5,400$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6181931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Giants22c5,356$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.9819551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…4ba0backed Giants12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbf05…70dabacked Lions76c4,641$3,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.1214763.9%94 W · 53 L+12.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lions57c4,581$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.650242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Giants13c4,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58524053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Giants12c4,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50412445.2%56 W · 68 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Giants13c4,200$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5562937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16eb…2fdfbacked Giants13c4,099$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Giants35c3,861$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,358.1723244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Giants13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Lions76c3,844$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.785940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Lions72c3,835$2,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.812937.9%11 W · 18 L-8.4wins-0.29per pick67cpaid-49.1%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lions62c3,768$2,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.1831056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed Giants12c3,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Giants15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9518140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Lions74c3,315$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.196100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Giants13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3907041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants14c3,000$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520646.1%95 W · 111 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Lions58c2,697$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.410960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Giants11c2,550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5511544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Lions67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+76.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Giants64c2,340$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.3220757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Lions72c2,300$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6444738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Giants72c2,299$1,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,663.522850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Lions44c2,252$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.385540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants13c2,231$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5983447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Giants1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.224311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Lions75c2,117$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.815238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea3…7282backed Giants13c2,111$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+108.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Giants12c2,083$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf795…ea82backed Giants12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Giants13c2,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae3…8ef0backed Giants15c1,999$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.84425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lions58c1,959$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.5927644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Giants16c1,800$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27914443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lions51c1,765$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.7116344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e3…cda8backed Giants32c1,569$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Giants13c1,555$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1513641.2%56 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Lions70c1,524$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.091546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Giants17c1,500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Lions36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Giants33c1,484$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.919136.3%33 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Lions63c1,477$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.3816254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Giants22c1,413$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7213145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Giants15c1,402$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3527633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd481…cdcbbacked Giants24c1,300$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3171942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Giants31c1,288$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Lions73c1,277$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Giants40c1,255$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ce…1817backed Lions66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Giants66c1,127$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Lions77c1,001$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.233470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…548fbacked Giants13c1,001$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Giants13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd54…2941backed Giants12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Giants12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013842%58 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Giants41c999.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.3318044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Giants25c976.6$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2405939%23 W · 36 L-9.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xea68…ff92backed Lions77c964.14$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+84%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Lions74c936.49$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.495549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d1…d6c7backed Giants13c923.08$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+171.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Lions45c913.69$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.8721151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Giants16c854.9$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Giants12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Giants15c824.28$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.4334652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Lions48c810.63$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2311027.3%30 W · 80 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Giants14c800$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11211142.3%47 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24f…849ebacked Giants12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Giants30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Lions63c793.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6411237.5%42 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Giants13c789.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009135.2%32 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x593e…8cc6backed Lions67c780$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.