NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5cb93fdcc070e1a102f681bb2eedd489807f7393afe4ba6b159173a4e28da1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Lions, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,032,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,968,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,032,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Lions | 62c | 1,141,378$704,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704,976.9 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Giants | 38c | 534,613$205,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329,232.73 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Giants | 38c | 500,000$190,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309,999.91 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Lions | 62c | 341,714$211,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211,862.38 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Giants | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,000 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Giants | 38c | 100,000$37,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,500 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,000 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Giants | 40c | 86,110$34,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,083.63 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 38c | 57,040$21,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,405.16 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Giants | 40c | 51,969$20,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,438.43 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Giants | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,500 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Giants | 40c | 45,201$18,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,970.82 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Giants | 38c | 35,000$13,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,700 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +889.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Giants | 39c | 32,819$12,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,041.3 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Giants | 39c | 23,696$9,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,551.65 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Giants | 40c | 23,244$9,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,054.57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Lions | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Lions | 55c | 8,935$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Giants | 40c | 8,482$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.4 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa290…b717backed Lions | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Giants | 40c | 6,485$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.7 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Giants | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Giants | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Giants | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Giants | 50c | 4,890$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.17 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Giants | 40c | 4,560$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.98 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Giants | 39c | 4,509$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.76 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Giants | 41c | 3,918$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.62 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Giants | 50c | 3,574$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.84 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Giants | 39c | 3,280$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.8 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Giants | 40c | 3,025$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Giants | 40c | 3,025$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Lions | 61c | 2,967$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 41c | 2,707$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.26 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Giants | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Giants | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed Giants | 41c | 2,269$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Lions | 62c | 2,016$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.92 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +12.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Giants | 46c | 1,896$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Lions | 60c | 1,654$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63c…27a4backed Giants | 39c | 1,650$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Giants | 38c | 1,648$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.53 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Lions | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Lions | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Giants | 52c | 1,542$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.35 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Giants | 41c | 1,503$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.27 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Giants | 40c | 1,489$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.33 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Giants | 41c | 1,410$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Giants | 38c | 1,273$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.37 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Giants | 71c | 1,167$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lions | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Giants | 51c | 1,100$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Giants | 39c | 1,082$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.64 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Giants | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Giants | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Lions | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…f75dbacked Lions | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Giants | 41c | 916.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.99 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked Lions | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…6282backed Lions | 37c | 808.16$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lions | 54c | 764.58$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.58 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…5c92backed Lions | 60c | 760$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…b511backed Giants | 44c | 736.59$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Lions | 61c | 713.39$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.17 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Lions | 49c | 650.08$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Giants | 41c | 629.27$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.27 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Giants | 41c | 544.3$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.81 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Giants | 40c | 511.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.76 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Giants | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Lions | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Lions | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Lions | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…473dbacked Lions | 62c | 458.45$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Giants | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Lions | 50c | 444$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Giants | 46c | 439.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.52 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Lions | 61c | 411.31$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Giants | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Giants | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…aecabacked Lions | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…fe7bbacked Lions | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Giants | 50c | 377$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Lions | 60c | 360$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Lions | 54c | 347.61$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…07f6backed Lions | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Lions | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Lions | 60c | 315.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c8…3559backed Giants | 40c | 303.02$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Giants | 40c | 302.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Giants | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Lions | 52c | 299.64$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Lions | 57c | 279.21$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Giants | 43c | 272$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Giants | 40c | 261.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Giants | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Giants | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Lions | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Giants | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed Giants | 39c | 242.7$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Giants | 63c | 241.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-10.5)this page
- Giants vs. LionsLions won
- Giants vs. Lions: 1H MoneylineGiants won
- Giants vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
- Giants vs. Lions: O/U 49.5Over won
- Giants vs. Lions: O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-11.5)Giants won
- Spread: Lions (-12.5)Giants won
- Spread: Lions (-13.5)Giants won
- Spread: Lions (-14.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.