NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae2d67bfa526f08d7909e470cc5d1a6679b7d82dc310e451b676813258c3f85b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 40,850$19,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,899.89 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 30,993$15,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,496.76 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Over | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 14,970$7,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,335.3 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Over | 52c | 14,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 10,005$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.1 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Over | 49c | 5,250$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.48 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 4,800$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.15 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,407$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.22 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Over | 50c | 1,584$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.32 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,500$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.5 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 49c | 1,046$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 309.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 131.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df4…fbbdbacked Over | 51c | 114.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Over | 51c | 106.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 52c | 105.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed Over | 52c | 78.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 304 | 42.4%129 W · 175 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 52c | 31.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…20a3backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…a396backed Over | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 75c | 27.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead2…27d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Lions: O/U 50.5this page
- Giants vs. LionsLions won
- Giants vs. Lions: 1H MoneylineGiants won
- Giants vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Over won
- Giants vs. Lions: O/U 49.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-10.5)Giants won
- Spread: Lions (-11.5)Giants won
- Spread: Lions (-12.5)Giants won
- Spread: Lions (-13.5)Giants won
- Spread: Lions (-14.5)Giants won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.