TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,589 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabea…72aebacked Yes5c10,191$484 inLost-$484.051216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+288.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fe…d475backed Yes2c6,522$143 inLost-$143.48329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes9c5,001$437 inLost-$4372020%4 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-41.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes6c5,000$313 inLost-$312.6368.3%3 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes2c3,000$69 inLost-$69425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes2c2,750$57 inLost-$57.35250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Yes3c2,000$64 inLost-$64244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes5c1,855$100 inLost-$1001811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-70.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes5c1,149$57 inLost-$57.47352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed Yes2c1,000$24 inLost-$2440%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9edd…6fe3backed Yes12c899.98$104 inLost-$104.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes1c857.09$11 inLost-$10.562218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4047…b217backed Yes5c725.96$35 inLost-$35166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-78.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1a…13b5backed Yes14c716.47$100 inLost-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Yes4c659.47$25 inLost-$25180%0 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes13c645.16$84 inLost-$83.92850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes3c446.71$15 inLost-$15175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes16c428.41$70 inLost-$70.283414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes3c405.61$10 inLost-$10.221227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes12c383$46 inLost-$46.3410123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17f6…93a2backed Yes5c381.52$20 inLost-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes5c377.36$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c8…317dbacked Yes14c364.54$50 inLost-$50.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab68…5844backed Yes11c353.75$40 inLost-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked Yes4c334.79$15 inLost-$1550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes8c268.79$23 inLost-$22.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x504e…8da8backed Yes5c231.12$12 inLost-$121414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca77…89bcbacked Yes9c214.85$20 inLost-$20825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+84.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes6c213.56$13 inLost-$13.43508%4 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe14…d255backed Yes5c209.95$10 inLost-$10.5616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43eb…e6c0backed Yes11c205.46$22 inLost-$221233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7460…944ebacked Yes12c200.29$25 inLost-$25616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bc…44eabacked Yes10c200$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b7…91b2backed Yes13c186.09$25 inLost-$2550%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes17c165.88$28 inLost-$27.913030%9 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff1…afedbacked Yes13c149.68$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…d720backed Yes13c148.64$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c2…c069backed Yes17c119.81$20 inLost-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Yes12c108.91$14 inLost-$13.542725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 61. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.