TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,671

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,951 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e3b…5d31backed Yes2c16,500$292 inLost-$291.54224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-73.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Yes3c13,846$385 inLost-$385.362611.5%3 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes4c10,000$440 inLost-$439.76326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-90.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6853…5846backed Yes3c8,000$272 inLost-$2721216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93c…17b2backed Yes5c5,461$250 inLost-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes4c5,399$214 inLost-$213.73917.7%7 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes4c5,000$220 inLost-$219.99540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+85.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6641…4a1abacked Yes5c2,168$100 inLost-$100190%0 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes1c2,000$26 inLost-$25.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked Yes4c1,506$60 inLost-$60229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Yes4c1,136$50 inLost-$50316.5%2 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Yes3c1,100$33 inLost-$33.120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x217e…3a4cbacked Yes4c1,000$38 inLost-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Yes3c1,000$30 inLost-$304914.3%7 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471b…b18fbacked Yes4c1,000$38 inLost-$3870%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c672$22 inLost-$21.972953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Yes4c568.41$21 inLost-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes4c400$16 inLost-$15.591315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-63.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3b8…42dcbacked Yes4c394.74$15 inLost-$15320%0 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae9…0710backed Yes4c305$12 inLost-$11.59812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72bf…c05bbacked Yes7c239.5$16 inLost-$15.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-76.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.