NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5aa4c91b761988e2a3def951a41b7135fbcfffe452a2a7955b1d3c79a6d9ae9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $550,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 776 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Oilers | 49c | 181,808$89,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,879.04 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Kings | 52c | 180,608$93,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,773.39 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Oilers | 45c | 51,262$23,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,193.91 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oilers | 50c | 47,962$24,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,951.83 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 48c | 39,929$19,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,273.2 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 45c | 39,743$17,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,962.95 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kings | 53c | 30,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.9 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Kings | 54c | 19,057$10,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,345.5 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Oilers | 54c | 12,995$7,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,983.96 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 47c | 12,211$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,767.73 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Oilers | 45c | 11,158$4,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186.24 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 51c | 11,000$5,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,656.24 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Oilers | 79c | 9,337$7,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.7 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 49c | 8,208$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,207.76 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…7067backed Oilers | 44c | 7,939$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 52c | 7,644$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,979.02 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Oilers | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 49c | 5,700$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Kings | 62c | 5,495$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.84 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Oilers | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Oilers | 47c | 4,833$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.66 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Kings | 45c | 3,663$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Oilers | 46c | 3,433$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.67 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Kings | 55c | 3,100$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Oilers | 46c | 2,702$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.07 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Kings | 53c | 2,659$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.33 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 45c | 2,625$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.53 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Oilers | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Kings | 56c | 2,533$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Kings | 11c | 2,531$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.01 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf137…a557backed Oilers | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Oilers | 46c | 2,302$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.06 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Oilers | 45c | 1,962$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.92 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 48c | 1,843$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kings | 50c | 1,835$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.66 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings | 57c | 1,744$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Kings | 56c | 1,742$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.3 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings | 57c | 1,687$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.13 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Kings | 46c | 1,588$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.27 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Oilers | 57c | 1,405$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.02 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Oilers | 46c | 1,310$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Kings | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kings | 52c | 1,255$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.6 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 53c | 1,229$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.02 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings | 16c | 1,217$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kings | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Kings | 48c | 1,107$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.35 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…383dbacked Oilers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Oilers | 57c | 1,040$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.26 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Oilers | 46c | 1,013$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.23 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Oilers | 46c | 1,010$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.75 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Oilers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kings | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Kings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.59 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Kings | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Kings | 55c | 999.92$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…533dbacked Oilers | 52c | 954.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Oilers | 46c | 920$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.24 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Oilers | 45c | 648.89$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.89 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Kings | 52c | 639.76$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.68 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Oilers | 45c | 630.62$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…222bbacked Oilers | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…55debacked Oilers | 57c | 592.35$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Kings | 45c | 581.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 48c | 566.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.71 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Kings | 57c | 551.44$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.32 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Oilers | 59c | 505.42$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 19c | 500.58$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kings | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Kings | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kings | 51c | 499.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Oilers | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Oilers | 51c | 486.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.82 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Kings | 58c | 475.11$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.56 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Oilers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Oilers | 54c | 400$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…fcd5backed Oilers | 50c | 389.28$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…59a2backed Kings | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29dc…bf90backed Oilers | 45c | 340.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 25c | 320.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Oilers | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Kings | 52c | 311.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0b…25d9backed Oilers | 49c | 308.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.68 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Kings | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Oilers | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Oilers | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Oilers | 43c | 295$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Kings | 52c | 274.73$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Kings | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…4ec0backed Kings | 56c | 242.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Kings | 55c | 237.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Oilers | 45c | 230$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.07 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…4369backed Kings | 54c | 229.63$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Oilers | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…c435backed Oilers | 47c | 223.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Oilers | 46c | 222$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Kings | 54c | 220$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.