TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee vs. Houston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houstonof Tennessee, Houston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$850,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$926,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $850,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc99b…dcd3backed Tennessee41c143,417$58,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,800.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a2…e78abacked Houston59c143,415$84,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,800.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Tennessee2c114,853$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Tennessee3c61,741$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.639833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Tennessee33c41,995$13,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,961.628644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Tennessee2c27,496$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9670%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Houston80c21,044$16,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,254.34944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Tennessee2c20,800$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.883993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Tennessee2c18,833$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.58633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-46.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Houston59c16,070$9,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,636.132770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc29b…b635backed Tennessee42c14,151$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Houston59c14,000$8,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.011250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc64d…a1c9backed Tennessee42c10,241$4,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,301.112512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Tennessee42c6,596$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.252222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Houston59c6,296$3,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.3953057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tennessee30c5,365$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.961,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3557…eb43backed Houston59c5,120$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Houston60c5,003$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.331978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x213e…cd72backed Houston58c4,946$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,077.291833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Houston58c4,684$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.25054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f89…0d03backed Tennessee41c4,627$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.271250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Houston59c4,396$2,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.62828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Houston60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Houston80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Houston58c3,948$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.2610335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7032…7829backed Tennessee41c3,492$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Houston63c3,458$2,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8e…bc92backed Houston59c3,314$1,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Houston58c3,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26010739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb7…e7c3backed Houston57c2,753$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d40…6629backed Tennessee41c2,687$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Houston58c2,594$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.664831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e4a…9210backed Tennessee41c2,519$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Tennessee6c2,516$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.192924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Tennessee42c2,500$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0493243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Tennessee37c2,433$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Houston58c2,365$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.252,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Tennessee43c2,353$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Houston60c2,337$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Houston64c2,298$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.218356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Tennessee15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Tennessee5c1,836$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8820548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Tennessee11c1,772$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.524632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb3…2e03backed Tennessee41c1,765$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Houston59c1,748$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston70c1,704$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.613,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Houston68c1,603$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.571560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Houston59c1,596$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.393745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Tennessee40c1,563$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.146440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Houston70c1,438$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Tennessee2c1,400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Tennessee3c1,300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.73016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Houston59c1,220$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.28151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Tennessee42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Tennessee42c1,150$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.91040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Houston59c1,124$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.891838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Houston79c1,070$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Houston58c1,040$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.810650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Tennessee8c1,012$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802020%4 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Houston61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3903652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Tennessee3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Houston70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa14b…b944backed Tennessee40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Houston57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4304450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Tennessee40c999.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Houston59c929.2$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8053…2a8ebacked Tennessee41c845.33$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Tennessee41c756.45$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Tennessee6c700$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Houston59c693.97$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.533231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid+16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Houston62c688.94$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9155657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Houston60c663.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.61353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Houston58c631.89$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3915851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5056…0576backed Houston60c611.48$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Houston60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Houston58c520$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.116053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Houston61c500.25$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.841662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Houston60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Houston59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82ee…d8e2backed Tennessee42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Tennessee14c450$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.210236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Houston75c425.87$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.876767.2%45 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Houston60c420$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1684770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa93c…17b2backed Houston60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Houston59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Houston59c398$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb006…4eb8backed Tennessee41c398$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Tennessee3c369.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Tennessee42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…4881backed Houston59c346.86$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tennessee41c334.29$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.066440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Houston59c333$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.532123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-59.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Houston59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Tennessee4c283.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.743046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Tennessee42c269.6$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Houston59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.24887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2df4…3ffabacked Tennessee10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2590%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Tennessee40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Tennessee9c250$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Houston60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.