Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC San Diego vs. Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5166118a15a571b405d9d51a2d05e0b1ba884e9e6d64a5e59ff132421609de84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michiganof UC San Diego, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $481,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $498,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Michigan | 58c | 95,820$55,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,635.36 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Michigan | 58c | 70,000$40,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,050 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed UC San Diego | 25c | 66,674$16,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,555.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed UC San Diego | 12c | 51,022$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,918.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Michigan | 72c | 41,006$29,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,507.44 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked UC San Diego | 38c | 27,672$10,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,516.22 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked UC San Diego | 41c | 21,346$8,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,822.62 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UC San Diego | 18c | 18,491$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.02 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed UC San Diego | 44c | 12,626$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,516.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed UC San Diego | 41c | 9,876$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.6 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed UC San Diego | 43c | 8,949$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.5 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked UC San Diego | 43c | 7,483$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…7bb6backed UC San Diego | 13c | 6,996$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked UC San Diego | 42c | 6,762$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.62 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked UC San Diego | 42c | 6,020$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UC San Diego | 41c | 5,850$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.53 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Michigan | 74c | 5,479$4,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UC San Diego | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked UC San Diego | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Michigan | 57c | 4,434$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.01 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed UC San Diego | 42c | 3,939$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.4 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed UC San Diego | 23c | 3,754$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.43 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Michigan | 57c | 3,138$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.34 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Michigan | 68c | 3,065$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Michigan | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked UC San Diego | 26c | 2,308$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked UC San Diego | 35c | 2,229$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed UC San Diego | 42c | 2,160$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.31 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Michigan | 71c | 2,072$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.53 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed UC San Diego | 43c | 1,888$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Michigan | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked UC San Diego | 43c | 1,080$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.4 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Michigan | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Michigan | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UC San Diego | 41c | 964$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Michigan | 75c | 898.02$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Michigan | 62c | 890.32$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Michigan | 57c | 857.89$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed UC San Diego | 45c | 691.46$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked UC San Diego | 36c | 619.56$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked UC San Diego | 13c | 605.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.67 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC San Diego | 32c | 573.03$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4420backed Michigan | 64c | 565.78$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.51 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…ebb5backed UC San Diego | 44c | 565.73$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked UC San Diego | 36c | 558.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Michigan | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…66bfbacked Michigan | 72c | 507.57$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed UC San Diego | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked UC San Diego | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Michigan | 68c | 460$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UC San Diego | 21c | 422.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked Michigan | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked UC San Diego | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed UC San Diego | 28c | 397.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Michigan | 57c | 313.28$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked UC San Diego | 29c | 303.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.42 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…84d7backed UC San Diego | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked UC San Diego | 44c | 295$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…dc5dbacked UC San Diego | 5c | 275.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed UC San Diego | 41c | 243.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked UC San Diego | 42c | 237.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…2f8abacked Michigan | 58c | 235$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed UC San Diego | 43c | 231.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked UC San Diego | 43c | 225$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.75 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked UC San Diego | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Michigan | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed UC San Diego | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked UC San Diego | 41c | 191.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Michigan | 58c | 179.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Michigan | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked UC San Diego | 45c | 168.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked UC San Diego | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229f…3036backed UC San Diego | 16c | 145.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Michigan | 79c | 138.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed UC San Diego | 17c | 136.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Michigan | 71c | 126.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Michigan | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Michigan | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed UC San Diego | 43c | 114.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed UC San Diego | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Michigan | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Michigan | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed UC San Diego | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed UC San Diego | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed UC San Diego | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked UC San Diego | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…df87backed Michigan | 75c | 90.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Michigan | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Michigan | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Michigan | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…2864backed UC San Diego | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Michigan | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Michigan | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…48f2backed Michigan | 58c | 76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e5…be51backed Michigan | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Michigan | 57c | 69.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked UC San Diego | 45c | 67.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Michigan | 57c | 66.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Michigan | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked UC San Diego | 18c | 60.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.