NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e52f21c7fca56bb681ee259e68433c22430ae066fe5e2c5284fff591eb4387f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,675,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,731,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,675,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Lions | 48c | 1,590,081$762,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827,458.22 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Cowboys | 52c | 878,558$456,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456,850.68 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Lions | 49c | 654,600$321,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333,280.62 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Cowboys | 51c | 615,505$312,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312,139.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lions | 49c | 486,641$238,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248,586.6 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cowboys | 51c | 250,000$127,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,500 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cowboys | 52c | 250,000$130,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,999.99 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Cowboys | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,000 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Cowboys | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lions | 49c | 142,526$70,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,487.51 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cowboys | 52c | 128,235$66,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,682.05 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cowboys | 52c | 79,000$41,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,080 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cowboys | 53c | 74,783$39,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,336 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cowboys | 53c | 70,993$37,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,526.15 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cowboys | 52c | 64,753$33,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,432.96 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Lions | 48c | 62,300$29,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,396 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Lions | 48c | 60,010$28,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,205.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Cowboys | 52c | 53,872$27,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,874.72 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cowboys | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,499.97 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Lions | 49c | 42,093$20,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,474.28 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Lions | 48c | 41,240$19,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,619.75 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lions | 47c | 41,140$19,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,982.2 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lions | 48c | 31,305$15,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,278.75 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Cowboys | 50c | 26,422$13,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,211 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Lions | 51c | 23,739$12,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,632.17 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Cowboys | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lions | 47c | 19,906$9,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,451.35 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lions | 47c | 15,938$7,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,452.41 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Lions | 48c | 14,531$7,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,514.29 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Lions | 50c | 14,310$7,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,155 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Cowboys | 53c | 12,890$6,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,831.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Cowboys | 52c | 11,901$6,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,183.06 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lions | 48c | 10,250$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,329.99 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cowboys | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lions | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cowboys | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cowboys | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.98 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Cowboys | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed Cowboys | 54c | 8,263$4,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,461.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lions | 49c | 8,060$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.31 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Lions | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Cowboys | 51c | 7,000$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cowboys | 53c | 6,988$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.03 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Lions | 48c | 6,385$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.01 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Lions | 49c | 5,102$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.84 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lions | 47c | 5,010$2,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.77 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cowboys | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Cowboys | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Lions | 48c | 4,655$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.34 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Cowboys | 54c | 4,471$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.58 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cowboys | 47c | 4,332$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.21 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Lions | 50c | 4,079$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.35 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Cowboys | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Cowboys | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Lions | 46c | 3,871$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.61 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cowboys | 17c | 3,267$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.31 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Cowboys | 52c | 3,136$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.49 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Cowboys | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,982$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Lions | 48c | 2,733$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cowboys | 50c | 2,578$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.88 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cowboys | 42c | 2,445$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.89 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Cowboys | 53c | 2,380$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.4 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lions | 48c | 2,351$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.95 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Cowboys | 2c | 2,222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked Lions | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cowboys | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Cowboys | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Cowboys | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Lions | 48c | 1,935$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.2 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Lions | 50c | 1,818$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cowboys | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b22…c59cbacked Cowboys | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Lions | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Cowboys | 53c | 1,400$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Lions | 48c | 1,338$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.01 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Cowboys | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Cowboys | 51c | 1,298$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Cowboys | 47c | 1,172$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cowboys | 53c | 1,120$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.6 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Cowboys | 52c | 1,077$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Cowboys | 52c | 1,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.91 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Lions | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lions | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Lions | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Cowboys | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Cowboys | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161c…3b03backed Cowboys | 51c | 976.84$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.19 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…1bd1backed Cowboys | 51c | 975.08$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Cowboys | 51c | 970.31$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.86 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…1636backed Cowboys | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…5839backed Cowboys | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Cowboys | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Cowboys | 51c | 862.75$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Cowboys | 53c | 852.42$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…e3d9backed Cowboys | 53c | 843.23$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Lions | 49c | 812$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.2 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Cowboys | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32da…b112backed Lions | 48c | 743.05$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.66 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55b6…09e2backed Cowboys | 34c | 727.36$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Lions (-1.5)Lions won
- 1H Spread: Lions (-2.5)Lions won
- Cowboys vs. LionsLions won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H MoneylineLions won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H O/U 26.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: 1H O/U 27.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 55.5Over won
- Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Lions (-10.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-4.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-7.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-8.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.