College Football · resolved market
Texas vs. Kentucky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d155680becc2876cc794cfa8276264a58be9fb8c2fc09d6bc193e7b583f7834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $793,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $769,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $793,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kentucky | 22c | 108,369$23,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,925.01 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Kentucky | 18c | 92,750$16,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,695 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Texas | 78c | 75,391$58,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,816.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Kentucky | 18c | 50,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kentucky | 18c | 38,029$6,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.28 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas | 75c | 36,630$27,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,202.74 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kentucky | 20c | 29,378$5,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,903.47 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Kentucky | 17c | 26,499$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.83 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kentucky | 18c | 25,725$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.5 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Kentucky | 18c | 25,675$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.46 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kentucky | 19c | 17,622$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.52 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kentucky | 18c | 17,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Kentucky | 18c | 16,470$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kentucky | 17c | 14,318$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky | 17c | 14,090$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.88 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kentucky | 26c | 12,703$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.88 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kentucky | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Kentucky | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kentucky | 18c | 9,031$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.61 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Kentucky | 22c | 8,806$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Kentucky | 17c | 8,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Kentucky | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Kentucky | 19c | 7,895$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Texas | 77c | 7,788$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.07 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Kentucky | 44c | 6,865$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Kentucky | 22c | 6,816$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.41 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Kentucky | 21c | 6,435$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kentucky | 17c | 5,381$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.78 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Kentucky | 29c | 5,063$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.02 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kentucky | 18c | 3,752$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.28 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kentucky | 18c | 3,579$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.05 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kentucky | 28c | 3,339$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.97 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Kentucky | 15c | 3,281$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Kentucky | 15c | 2,688$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Kentucky | 14c | 2,247$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas | 76c | 2,181$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.22 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…85eebacked Texas | 70c | 2,145$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Kentucky | 19c | 2,050$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Kentucky | 24c | 2,002$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Texas | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed Kentucky | 31c | 1,948$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.3 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kentucky | 37c | 1,640$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.8 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8e…6556backed Kentucky | 14c | 1,608$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kentucky | 38c | 1,510$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.42 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kentucky | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Kentucky | 21c | 1,195$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.03 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kentucky | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kentucky | 17c | 1,167$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Kentucky | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kentucky | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Kentucky | 18c | 996.67$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Kentucky | 23c | 750$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Kentucky | 34c | 683.44$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.37 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Kentucky | 28c | 650$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kentucky | 18c | 640$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Texas | 79c | 495$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Kentucky | 18c | 487.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Kentucky | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Kentucky | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Kentucky | 12c | 400.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Kentucky | 13c | 391$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Kentucky | 5c | 356.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…f7c9backed Texas | 78c | 309$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Kentucky | 7c | 299.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Texas | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Texas | 63c | 275$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Kentucky | 24c | 256.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Kentucky | 18c | 244.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Kentucky | 19c | 225$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Kentucky | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kentucky | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…e696backed Kentucky | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Kentucky | 9c | 150.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kentucky | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kentucky | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Kentucky | 18c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Kentucky | 19c | 139.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Kentucky | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…1c00backed Kentucky | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Kentucky | 21c | 117.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2261…acdbbacked Kentucky | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Kentucky | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Kentucky | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Kentucky | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kentucky | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Kentucky | 34c | 97.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Kentucky | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Kentucky | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Kentucky | 24c | 80.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Texas | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kentucky | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kentucky | 17c | 73.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kentucky | 18c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Kentucky | 19c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…9f49backed Texas | 78c | 43.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…bbf1backed Texas | 66c | 41.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…825cbacked Kentucky | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Texas | 64c | 36.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…0f5fbacked Kentucky | 72c | 34.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…d0d6backed Texas | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas vs. Kentuckythis page
- O/U 42.5Under won
- Spread: Texas (-12.5)Kentucky won
- Texas vs. Kentucky: O/U 43.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.