TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x338e…9f49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.24
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.97
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$24.65
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.47
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.61
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.24
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.64
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.23
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$4.33
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.92
Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+39.3%+$11.43
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$27.54
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$12.6
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.31
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.11
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.34
Liverpool FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$12.84
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+25%+$3.71
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.08
Will Qarabag win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$5.45
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.76
Will Inter win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$2.67
Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+184%+$62.03
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$11.32
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$4.81
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+112.4%+$45.42
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.71
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.85
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$10.98
Commanders vs. Chiefsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.33
Chargers vs. Giantsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.38
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.77
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+107.6%+$44.43
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.54
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+62.1%+$60.24
US Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$4.88
US Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$5.43
US Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$5.84
US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paulbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+77.4%+$24.06
US Open: Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.5
US Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$4.42
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Siegemundbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$4.75
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Diallo backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$3.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senegal vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Will France win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$9.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55.31
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.