Fifa International · resolved market
Will France win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ba15e8fd49ffdf6112b415209a0edfb868f8a2cee9d01577e84ca845184c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 7c | 12,514$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.59 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…4253backed No | 7c | 8,146$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 9c | 7,700$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 10c | 5,593$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 9c | 4,237$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 8c | 2,947$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.73 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 18c | 2,782$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.49 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 17c | 2,659$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.44 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 23c | 2,365$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 30c | 1,903$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.24 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 69c | 1,897$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.41 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 17c | 1,397$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.86 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 26c | 1,031$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.26 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,005$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…2f1fbacked Yes | 75c | 723.54$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 73c | 539.87$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 35c | 530.53$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 17c | 518.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 9c | 499.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 16c | 477$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 76c | 450$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 9c | 345$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 32c | 320$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 9c | 280$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 11c | 245.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…4821backed Yes | 75c | 224.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 25c | 224.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 24c | 166$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Yes | 68c | 117$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 68c | 64.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 47c | 56.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338e…9f49backed Yes | 65c | 27.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 76c | 26.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8897…dab3backed Yes | 79c | 21.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…c1a6backed Yes | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…b65bbacked Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…f3acbacked Yes | 71c | 19.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will France vs. Iceland end in a draw?No won
- Will Iceland win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.