Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96ef554f7796156e0f9c5bf323a1a73dda3ebf06f06998dfd557eb6c57ca7e1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Sep 30, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $36,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf519…906bbacked No	76c	4,948$3,761 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,187.59	149	53%79 W · 70 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	24c	4,697$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,129.26	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked No	77c	4,351$3,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.65	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes	23c	3,649$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.22	291	36.8%107 W · 184 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes	25c	2,032$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.93	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	87	40.2%35 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+81%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No	70c	1,645$1,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.6	170	48.2%82 W · 88 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No	76c	1,362$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.93	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No	65c	1,358$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.38	383	43.1%165 W · 218 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No	77c	1,152$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.99	65	58.5%38 W · 27 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No	76c	1,109$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.88	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes	29c	1,104$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes	23c	1,061$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.92	380	48.7%185 W · 195 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	39c	941$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.33	389	35.2%137 W · 252 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	30c	877$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.96	161	36%58 W · 103 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2a…4945backed Yes	24c	833.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	75c	808.42$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.7	203	43.3%88 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1932…4e5abacked No	77c	765.69$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.11	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked No	40c	746.47$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.47	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes	24c	666.67$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	117	35.9%42 W · 75 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No	76c	600$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	116	49.1%57 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes	23c	554.82$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.61	82	41.5%34 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes	49c	527.24$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.37	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Yes	29c	517.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	291	38.1%111 W · 180 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes	31c	483.87$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e34…fe96backed Yes	12c	430.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No	68c	384.82$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.39	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes	24c	366.57$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.56	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	24c	359.38$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.25	135	34.8%47 W · 88 L	-10.9wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	48c	346.68$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.69	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	21c	316.67$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No	70c	245.67$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.7	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55b…15d4backed No	76c	234.13$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.19	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Yes	31c	197.98$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes	29c	189.66$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	70	55.7%39 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x001b…1bd7backed Yes	9c	166.67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	30cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4932…ba11backed Yes	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes	72c	166.67$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8017…3366backed Yes	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	73cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	75c	156$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.24	449	55.7%250 W · 199 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	12c	150$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	291	42.3%123 W · 168 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No	69c	126.65$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.26	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes	53c	106.85$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	74	63.5%47 W · 27 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No	76c	98$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	95	53.7%51 W · 44 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked Yes	25c	92.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.03	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes	24c	83.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	285	40%114 W · 171 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Yes	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes	25c	72$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed No	71c	70.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.98	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+4.0wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+47%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe532…f9b9backed Yes	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes	31c	64.52$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No	69c	60$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.36	140	44.3%62 W · 78 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cf3…2b57backed No	30c	50$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36a…be63backed Yes	31c	48.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes	23c	48$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.11per pick	32cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc173…930bbacked Yes	66c	45.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes	23c	44$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	290	34.5%100 W · 190 L	+16.0wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	75c	43$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.56	469	56.5%265 W · 204 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x670c…d5fabacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18c…5bc3backed Yes	30c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes	30c	37.73$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Yes	61c	32.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae91…8a2abacked No	77c	24.97$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked No	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dff…bc36backed No	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9419…4201backed Yes	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x338e…9f49backed Yes	64c	19.1$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.22	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No	70c	14.99$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.5	344	49.7%171 W · 173 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?this page
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?Yes won
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-30?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Atalanta vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event